Market's basically pricing it in now — traders are betting 97% odds the Fed drops rates by a quarter point today. That's the highest confidence level we've seen for this decision. Wild how conviction builds when the data aligns.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
22 Likes
Reward
22
8
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
UnruggableChad
· 16h ago
97%? This probability is almost confirmed; the market is really unanimously bullish on rate cuts. When the data aligns, it's this strong.
View OriginalReply0
pvt_key_collector
· 12-12 15:51
97% probability... Is it equal to 100% haha, it feels like a rate cut is really going to be made this time
View OriginalReply0
SundayDegen
· 12-11 20:24
97% this number is a bit scary, feeling too confident might actually lead to a dump...
View OriginalReply0
LayerZeroHero
· 12-10 18:07
97%? With such a high probability, it's almost a guaranteed event haha, feels like the market has already figured out the outcome
View OriginalReply0
ProxyCollector
· 12-10 18:06
97% probability... Honestly, that number is a bit frightening. What if things go wrong?
View OriginalReply0
RektButSmiling
· 12-10 18:05
97% odds? That number feels a bit too perfect, I have a feeling there might be a reversal coming...
View OriginalReply0
AirdropHunter007
· 12-10 17:49
97%? That probability is a bit scary, what if the Fed reverses its stance entirely...
View OriginalReply0
LiquidatorFlash
· 12-10 17:45
97% win rate... Sounds very much like the high-leverage positions I've seen. The moment the data aligns is often the calm before the threshold is triggered.
Market's basically pricing it in now — traders are betting 97% odds the Fed drops rates by a quarter point today. That's the highest confidence level we've seen for this decision. Wild how conviction builds when the data aligns.