Seize or hold? That's the dilemma facing European policymakers right now.

Several Western governments are testing uncharted waters with a controversial move—redirecting frozen Russian assets to fund ongoing operations in Eastern Europe. The legal framework? Shaky at best. The playbook? Still being written.

But here's the kicker: even if they pull the trigger on this unprecedented financial maneuver, there's zero certainty it'll shift the trajectory of what's unfolding on the ground. High stakes, murky legality, uncertain payoff—sounds like a geopolitical gamble with no clear exit strategy.