Recently, the U.S. suddenly significantly downgraded economic expectations, which is quite thought-provoking.



A few months ago, those impressive non-farm payroll data are still fresh in memory, but now the tone has changed dramatically. This 180-degree turn makes people wonder—how much of those previously emphasized "strong employment" data was actually real? Is the official move to lower expectations now truly a "cautious adjustment," or are some issues already too big to hide?

Some say that lowering expectations opens up room for rate cuts, which is positive for the market. But thinking calmly, at this current point in time, voluntarily backing down sends a signal that might not be so optimistic. If the upcoming economic slowdown turns out to be more severe than expected, how will funds react? Most likely, they'll first withdraw risk exposure.

Friends still heavily betting on a rebound, your courage is commendable. But you have to accept one fact: when the biggest players start "adjusting expectations" at this stage, they’re not just watching the numbers on paper—they're probably more concerned about market liquidity. In this environment, don’t confuse technical adjustments with systemic risk.

Sometimes, the market doesn’t tell you about fundamentals; it’s just testing your position’s resilience. Before the door closes, make sure you still have a way out.
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BearMarketSagevip
· 4h ago
Data is hitting back... The "strong employment" narrative from a few months ago now looks like a complete bluff. It's the same old story—once the officials proactively lower expectations, they start promoting rate cuts? Wake up, this is just paving the way for a crash. Those who truly dare to go all-in on the rebound need to learn to cut losses; the market is testing everyone's stop-loss points. Liquidity is the key; the fundamentals rhetoric is already outdated. Many are still dreaming, waiting to see the show.
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BtcDailyResearchervip
· 7h ago
This move to lower expectations is definitely paving the way for subsequent bad news.
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FreeMintervip
· 12-12 09:20
Even with such impressive non-farm data, it can still reverse; this move is so impressive it blew me away. This round of U.S. forecast downgrades hints at too many underlying issues... there's more than meets the eye. Brothers heavily invested in the rebound, you really need to think carefully. The most dangerous time is when the officials admit defeat proactively; it's right to withdraw liquidity first. The door isn't closed yet; better to leave yourself a backup plan first.
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StealthDeployervip
· 12-11 00:52
This wave of downward adjustments really is just shifting blame. The more loudly it was hyped before, the more embarrassing it is now. The Federal Reserve is playing a clever game, first hyping non-farm payrolls to the sky, then quietly changing the story—turns out we've all been used as data guinea pigs. Rate cut space? Just listen, don’t really believe it. Heavy investors are probably having trouble sleeping now, waiting to see how absurd the subsequent decline will be. Honestly, liquidity will tighten, don’t be fooled by the rebound small moves; recognizing the situation is more important. Relying on technical analysis at this point is probably going to be disadvantageous; systemic risks are staring us in the face. While you can still run, quickly leave yourself a backup plan—once the door is closed, it will be too late.
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ForkThisDAOvip
· 12-11 00:44
Damn, are they going to cut again? This wave of rate cut expectations is really unprecedented, I just want to see who will still hold on stubbornly. Wait, when liquidity suddenly tightens, those high-leverage buddies better be careful. Basically, big institutions are quietly repositioning their holdings, while retail investors are still foolishly buying the dip. Interest rate cuts? Haha, we have to survive this round of cleansing first, don’t be too naive, friends. When the door finally closes, no one can save your meme coin positions.
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RektButSmilingvip
· 12-11 00:43
I can't hold it anymore. During the non-farm payrolls release, everyone was hyping it up, and now they're flipping the script—this routine is worn out. The official move is just passing the buck; frankly, the data has some issues. Is a rate cut a positive? Forget it, it looks more like they're preparing for their own demise. Brothers heavily invested in the rebound, you might really be in for a loss this time. The market is focusing on liquidity, not your technical analysis. If you truly want to survive, now is the time to think about how to make an escape.
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consensus_whisperervip
· 12-11 00:29
The non-farm data was so strong before, now suddenly hitting the brakes... Where's the supposed strong employment? Expectations once adjusted, everyone was thinking about rate cuts as a positive, quite optimistic indeed. Holding a heavy position during the rebound takes real courage—it's brave even if it ends in losses. The real issue is liquidity; all the technical analysis in the end is useless. Reduce your positions before the door closes, or you'll be trapped if you wait too long.
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TerraNeverForgetvip
· 12-11 00:24
I don't really trust those data anymore, feels like a show --- Starting to lower expectations again, the reality might be worse than we think --- The non-farm payroll data was hyped up so much back then, now the slap in the face comes so quickly --- Guys with heavy positions should step back and take a breather, this trend isn't right --- Rate cuts are good news? Don't make me laugh, it's a sign of surrender --- Liquidity speaks louder than fundamentals, you need to understand this --- Why does it feel like the authorities are secretly admitting they tricked us before --- Large funds are already fleeing, retail investors are still in a daze --- The adjustment of expectations is just giving an escape route --- When systemic risk hits, the technical analysis tools become useless --- It's not wrong to say that you should leave an exit route before closing the door --- Liquidity drying up is more frightening than a bear market --- Those strong employment data now look like a joke
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