#美联储降息 The signals coming from the latest Federal Reserve meeting are worth careful consideration—overall tone is neutral, but there are plenty of hawkish hints.

The 25 basis point rate cut is fully in line with market expectations, and the Fed's assessment of the economy is quite optimistic, emphasizing a smooth soft landing process with no risk of a hard landing. On the surface, everything seems to conform to normal expectations.

But the details are the key. The rate cut forecast for 2026 in the dot plot has been pushed to the extreme—only one rate cut is expected throughout the year. More intriguingly, three members dissented, publicly expressing concerns about inflation rebound and productivity recovery, clearly indicating no desire to ease policy. This stance essentially closes the door on further easing measures.

Last night's market performance just confirmed the market's interpretation of this signal. There was no extreme volatility; instead, the market maintained a range-bound oscillation, digesting these mixed signals without rushing into action.

From the rhythm standpoint, there are signs that the market has already begun to pull back. In the short term, the market is likely to fluctuate around 3200—this is a normal correction after the previous gains. The crypto market always follows this pattern: it trades on expectations, and once expectations are realized, traders need to switch their strategies.

The current risk of chasing gains is indeed high. Blindly increasing positions is less advisable than observing the market; even consider short positions on rallies—this approach offers more stability. The real test is mental resilience—don't let the oscillating market shake you out.

Based on industry experience, after such neutral-to-hawkish policy signals, a phase of consolidation or sideways movement often follows. During this stage, the most important thing is not frequent trading but controlling your hands and waiting for clear signs of stabilization before acting.

If you’re also wavering on long or short positions, or interested in shorting on rallies, take a moment to analyze the market logic. The key is to stay disciplined after understanding the signals—opportunities in crypto are endless, but what’s truly scarce is the execution ability after making the right call. Following this approach can help you avoid many detours.

Focus on: $pippin $G $WET