Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto world and grasping the best trading opportunities. Today is Thursday, December 11, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀铁粉打卡👍点赞发大财🍗🍗🌹🌹.

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The three major US stock indices close higher collectively, with the Dow up 1.05%, NASDAQ up 0.33%, and S&P 500 up 0.68%. Most large tech stocks rose, while the cryptocurrency sector led the decline. The Federal Reserve wraps up 2025 with a rate cut of 25 basis points as scheduled. Fed Chair Powell emphasized labor market risks in his speech, downplayed inflation concerns, and the dollar recorded its worst performance in nearly three months. CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January next year is 22.1%, while the chance of holding rates steady is 77.9%. By March next year, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 40.7%, with a 52% chance of no change, and a 7.4% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. Cryptomarket experienced a rollercoaster overnight; in fact, this positive news has been hyped up for a while, so it’s not surprising. Next, we’ll see what surprises next week’s data might hold. Market volatility is normal, and I will continue to monitor key signals such as Fed policies, institutional capital flows, and on-chain data changes, updating strategies and targets in real time.

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Bitcoin surged to a high of $94,500, but buying momentum weakened, triggering a pullback. During yesterday’s daytime session, the price entered a consolidation range, mainly fluctuating around $92,000. Currently, the market remains balanced between bulls and bears. The turning point occurred when the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision was announced early morning. Stimulated by policy optimism, Bitcoin experienced a “gap-up” rally, jumping from a low of $91,650 to a high of $94,435, just shy of the previous high. However, this rally did not sustain; selling pressure quickly emerged, and after reaching the peak, the price fell back sharply, breaking below the $90,000 level and continuing its downward trend. In the short term, the key support level for Bitcoin is now at $89,200. If this support holds during the daytime, the market may see a slight rebound, with prices potentially bouncing back to the $90,000–$91,000 range. But if the support breaks, further downside may open up, with possible testing of the $88,000–$87,000 zone. Beyond the support level, market sentiment changes will be crucial—if investor panic intensifies, it could lead to increased selling pressure; conversely, if confidence stabilizes, it may provide a foundation for a rebound.

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Ethereum performed more strongly yesterday, but still faced downside pressure amid the overall market correction. After testing the $3396 high the previous day, Ethereum entered a consolidation phase yesterday, fluctuating around $3200. In the afternoon and evening, the price dipped to a low of $3305, then bulls gained momentum, pushing the price higher. Following the Fed’s rate cut announcement early morning, Ethereum benefited alongside Bitcoin, rapidly rising to a high of $3446, breaking the previous high and reaching a recent seasonal peak. However, similar to Bitcoin, the rally was not sustained; after digesting the positive news, selling pressure emerged, and the price quickly declined, now around $3160, without a clear reversal signal, remaining in a short-term correction. For Ethereum, key focus should be on the strong support zone (around $3100–$3120). If this support holds during the daytime, it indicates continued buying strength below and potential for another rebound, possibly pushing the price back to the $3250–$3300 range. If the support fails, further downside toward the $3000 mark could occur, requiring vigilance for expanded corrections. Overall, although Ethereum was relatively strong yesterday, it remains influenced by the overall crypto market sentiment. Future rebounds depend on support defense and capital inflows.