Before the data release at 3 a.m., the market was basically certain about a rate cut. The Federal Reserve did follow the script and cut by 25 basis points. However, as soon as this good news was announced, it became a sign of "good news being fully priced in"—the recent rebound may have been an early digestion of expectations. Now, we need to re-examine how the market is going.
First, let's talk about Bitcoin. The 94,000 level I mentioned repeatedly is a tough nut to crack. It has been tested three times in recent days, but each time it failed to hold, and a pullback is inevitable. The key support is currently around 90,000; even if the price dips to 89,000, I wouldn't be surprised. But whether it can stabilize here directly determines if there’s further upside. Holding this level opens the possibility for a reorganization of the rally; failing to do so means we look for deeper support levels.
Next, Ethereum. Since breaking through 3,200, I’ve been eyeing the 3,400 level. Yesterday, the price indeed reached the expected target. Before the data was released, I was watching the chart. Around 3,420, I suggested brothers in the group to open short positions, and the price climbed to 3,428 at its peak. After the data release, it dipped to 3,350, and I closed the position. Before sleeping, I placed a short order at 3,430, and this morning I woke up to more gains.
Recently, Ethereum has been more active than Bitcoin, which also means its correction space is larger. After all, when Bitcoin is moving sideways, Ethereum is unlikely to move independently. Now, the hourly chart has broken down, and the next target is testing the 3,210 support. If this level also fails to hold, there's a high chance it will retest the 3,000 level.
To summarize, the entire market now hinges on two levels: Bitcoin's 90,000 and Ethereum's 3,000. Holding these levels means there’s still room for the market; failing to do so means preparing for further adjustments. As for altcoins? Resistance is like an iron wall, while support is as fragile as paper. In this kind of market, controlling your hands and not making reckless moves already puts you ahead of most traders.
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NFTArchaeologis
· 19h ago
The saying that good news has been exhausted reminds me of the early digital art bubble rhetoric. The thresholds of 90,000 and 3,000 are actually like critical points in artifact grading—only by holding on do they have recording value; once broken, the narrative must be redefined.
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airdrop_whisperer
· 12-11 05:50
The good news is all worn out, and everyone is tired of hearing this rhetoric. The key is whether 90,000 can hold up.
Had meat again this morning, but it feels like Ethereum's recent correction is going to drop further.
Shanzhai? Don't even mention it. The support is paper-thin, just waiting to be washed out.
If 90,000 breaks, I'll just pull back immediately—no need to overthink it.
If we can't hold the 3,000 level, then it's really time to prepare for a cut.
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governance_ghost
· 12-11 05:37
Good news is already exhausted, and the key level at 94,000 is repeatedly being smashed, it feels like it's going down.
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Feeling great about shorting, perfectly closed the top at 3428, and was stopped out this morning.
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If we can't hold 90,000, then we need to prepare to buy the dip, otherwise we can only watch helplessly.
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Ethereum's recent breakdown was quite sharp, with 3000 becoming the critical line of life and death. If it breaks, it might go even lower.
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Shanzhai (knockoff) projects really have no hope now, support levels are as thin as paper. At this point, it's definitely time to stay calm.
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Lowering interest rates according to the script actually causes a sell-off, I've seen this routine too many times haha.
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StealthDeployer
· 12-11 05:35
The good news is completely exhausted; this statement is really clever. But on the other hand, the 90,000 level is indeed a paper tiger.
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Whoa, you hit the jackpot again? Your luck is unmatched, brother.
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Bitcoin just can't break through 94,000; this time, a correction is really necessary.
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If I can't break the 3,000 level, I admit defeat. It's too risky.
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Controlling your hand is easy to say, but how many can really do it?
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I've already said that the good news isn't really good news. Just watch now.
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ThatsNotARugPull
· 12-11 05:27
The old logic that all good news has been exhausted really does work. It always happens this way.
Three attempts at 94k, and still not stable. Are we really going to break this time?
Ethereum's short position this wave has made a profit, awesome. I got stopped out again by the spike.
If we can't hold 90k, then we really have to look downwards. Be mentally prepared.
This time, the fake coin is just deserved; resistance is a copper wall, support is paper-thin—anyone who touches it will die.
Don't move your hands—this statement is correct; if you don't move, you win.
If we break through 3000, then it's time to switch to defensive mode.
Before the data release at 3 a.m., the market was basically certain about a rate cut. The Federal Reserve did follow the script and cut by 25 basis points. However, as soon as this good news was announced, it became a sign of "good news being fully priced in"—the recent rebound may have been an early digestion of expectations. Now, we need to re-examine how the market is going.
First, let's talk about Bitcoin. The 94,000 level I mentioned repeatedly is a tough nut to crack. It has been tested three times in recent days, but each time it failed to hold, and a pullback is inevitable. The key support is currently around 90,000; even if the price dips to 89,000, I wouldn't be surprised. But whether it can stabilize here directly determines if there’s further upside. Holding this level opens the possibility for a reorganization of the rally; failing to do so means we look for deeper support levels.
Next, Ethereum. Since breaking through 3,200, I’ve been eyeing the 3,400 level. Yesterday, the price indeed reached the expected target. Before the data was released, I was watching the chart. Around 3,420, I suggested brothers in the group to open short positions, and the price climbed to 3,428 at its peak. After the data release, it dipped to 3,350, and I closed the position. Before sleeping, I placed a short order at 3,430, and this morning I woke up to more gains.
Recently, Ethereum has been more active than Bitcoin, which also means its correction space is larger. After all, when Bitcoin is moving sideways, Ethereum is unlikely to move independently. Now, the hourly chart has broken down, and the next target is testing the 3,210 support. If this level also fails to hold, there's a high chance it will retest the 3,000 level.
To summarize, the entire market now hinges on two levels: Bitcoin's 90,000 and Ethereum's 3,000. Holding these levels means there’s still room for the market; failing to do so means preparing for further adjustments. As for altcoins? Resistance is like an iron wall, while support is as fragile as paper. In this kind of market, controlling your hands and not making reckless moves already puts you ahead of most traders.