#加密生态动态追踪 After the Fed's official rate cut announcement, the reactions of Bitcoin and Ethereum have been somewhat absurd—it's not skyrocketing but bouncing up and down. Where's the anticipated "liquidity feast"? Why does it look like this?



It seems like a rate cut is good news, but in reality, the core is quite hawkish. Powell says he's cutting rates, but then quickly throws out a line like "economic data is basically stable," and the market is instantly cooled down. The underlying message is clear: this rate cut is just that, don’t expect continued easing. The market's previous fantasies about sustained liquidity injections are suddenly shattered.

Even more painful is the internal division within the Federal Reserve, with three dissenting votes for the first time in nearly six years. Some think the cut isn’t aggressive enough, others believe it shouldn’t have been cut at all. Opinions are all over the place. This chaotic signal has directly confused the market.

Why has good news turned into bad news? Simply put, it’s the classic operation: expectations are priced in, but once they materialize, they must be fulfilled. The previous rally was based on the expectation of "long-term easing by the Fed," but now that the expectation has been realized, the funds that were in position are naturally retreating. The logic of profit-taking is straightforward—those who profited from this wave of gains are now locking in their profits.

So this can hardly be considered a new bull market signal; instead, it’s more like a cold splash on the bulls. It reminds us that macroeconomic uncertainty (long-term high interest rates) still looms overhead, and a single rate cut alone is far from enough to change the situation.

The movements of coins like $ETH, $ZEC, and $ADA also reflect this dilemma—the gap between expectations and reality is so large that the correction is deep. Next, the market needs to re-position itself: is this a short-term correction or a real trend reversal? Every trader should consider this question.

Are you choosing to exit risk positions or buy on dips? Can the bottom range hold? Share your real trading ideas in the comments.
BTC-2.62%
ETH-3.78%
ZEC-7.36%
ADA-2.91%
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AirdropHunter420vip
· 12-12 00:27
Powell's move is truly brilliant—talks about cutting rates while stabbing with a knife. The market is played around in circles. If I had known it would turn out like this, I wouldn't have expected a liquidity feast. Once the expectations shattered, I should have just run. After the Federal Reserve's three dissenting votes appeared, I knew things wouldn't be too optimistic next. The signals are too chaotic. Profit-taking should have been exited long ago; those still hesitating are mostly trapped. However, if the bottom can't hold, it's still necessary to build some positions on dips. You can't just stay completely in cash forever.
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SmartMoneyWalletvip
· 12-11 06:40
Basically, it's just capital betting; the whales have already left, and retail investors are still dreaming of continuous easing. On-chain data is all here, and the distribution of large investors' chips has long since changed.
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HashBardvip
· 12-11 06:40
ngl, powell just did the classic bait-and-switch move... whispered rate cut but screamed "economy's fine actually" lmao. market got jebaited hard fr fr
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LiquidityHuntervip
· 12-11 06:39
Powell's move is truly clever—being dovish in words but hawkish in actions, the market has been played indeed. To put it simply, it's about expectations being realized, then taking profits quickly—this wave has caused significant losses for retail investors. Can the bottom hold? It depends on the Fed's stance; right now, it's uncertain. I'm following the technical analysis; at this level for ETH, I haven't decided whether to buy yet.
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GasFeeNightmarevip
· 12-11 06:35
Once again, a whack-a-mole of expectations vs. reality. I should have run away when the gas fee rose to 50 gwei.
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GasWhisperervip
· 12-11 06:28
mempool's been screaming this for weeks... the gwei patterns don't lie, people just refuse to read them. one rate cut isn't a macro reset, it's noise masking the real network inefficiency underneath. everyone's trading the headline when they should be tracking the actual fee waves. that's where the real signal hides.
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