#数字资产生态回暖 $BTC breaks through the 90,000 mark, and the new round of trading enthusiasm has reignited. But I recall my own experience in 2017—buying the dip starting from 19,000, doing it six times in one go, and the last time being at 5,800, only to watch it crash down to 3,200. That feeling was tough.



Why do retail investors often get caught on the "mountain's half"? Three common pitfalls:

**Misconception 1**: Thinking that falling from 126,000 to 90,000 is "cheap"? Reacting impulsively after a 20+ percent drop—are you just gambling or making a rational decision?

**Misconception 2**: Fear of missing out (FOMO), seeing any rebound signal and blindly going all-in. Essentially, still being driven by emotion.

**Misconception 3**: Seeing whales increasing holdings or certain technical signals and thinking "the signal has arrived," chasing the high. But a correct signal doesn't always mean the right direction.

Here are some real signals currently visible in the market—fear and greed index at 38, indicating the market is still in a fear zone; trading volume is active, but that doesn't mean the direction is clear; macro-wise, rate cuts have been implemented, but the Federal Reserve's tone remains hawkish.

There's also a potential variable this month: the Bank of Japan's rate hike decision on the 18th. Although the market may have already priced in some expectations, panic volatility can still occur near the decision. In this environment, new lows for altcoins are almost inevitable, and it's best to consider cutting losses and exiting if you hold relevant positions.

So, is it just waiting? Not entirely. The market is pessimistic, but opportunities haven't disappeared—key is to find the right entry points. Buying the dip has never been about guessing the lowest point—that's gambling, not investing. The current rhythm is to wait for clearer signals and more defined risks before taking action.
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ArbitrageBotvip
· 20h ago
It's the same story again; retail investors are just victims of emotional manipulation. --- I was also involved during the 5800 drop. Looking back now, it was truly despairing. --- The Fear and Greed Index at 38, anyone still risking everything must be a gambler. I don't understand it. --- On the 18th in Japan, there might be a big dip. Don't chase after knockoffs; staying alive and exiting is the most important. --- The signal was right, but the direction was wrong. That hit me hard—I chased too many false signals. --- It's still better to wait until the risks are clearer before acting. No need to rush. --- Bought the dip six times in a row down to 5800. Such an experience is truly enough once; I don't want to go through it a second time. --- Instead of guessing the lowest point, it's better to wait for confirmed signals. Missing a wave is better than losing everything.
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NeonCollectorvip
· 12-13 12:14
Ah, I’ve also experienced the 2017 bottom-fishing combo. It’s really a shadow, don’t even want to mention it. Looking at the 90,000 level now, I still don’t find it convincing enough. Wait, on the 18th, the Bank of Japan’s move, meme coins are probably going to plunge again. Hurry up and sell off those broken coins. But to be fair, the Fear and Greed Index is still at 38, in the panic zone. Why rush to go all in now? Isn’t this just repeating the same mistakes? Until the signals are clear, I’ll keep observing. Only when the risk is exposed is the time to enter, not now.
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DefiPlaybookvip
· 12-12 18:08
According to on-chain data, the Fear Greed Index at 38 is indeed still in the panic zone, but this actually indicates that the logic for bottom-fishing is not yet strong enough. It is worth noting that the Bank of Japan's barrier on the 18th is very crucial—historical data shows that the night before a central bank decision is usually accompanied by 15-30% volatility. It is recommended not to be greedy at this stage and wait for clearer signals before taking action.
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PebbleHandervip
· 12-11 08:20
Buying the dip 6 times and ending up at 5800 was really a disaster. Just talking about it is a textbook-level cautionary example.
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0xLuckboxvip
· 12-11 08:20
Only after experiencing it do you understand. The 2017 wave was indeed brutal. I was the same, overwhelmed to the point of losing composure.
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SchroedingerMinervip
· 12-11 08:20
It's the same old bottom-fishing rhetoric again. It sounds nice, but when it comes to the critical moment, who isn't controlled by emotions? I heard this kind of talk in 2017, kept waiting and waiting, and ended up buying in at a high price.
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NestedFoxvip
· 12-11 08:20
Here comes another story from 2017. I've heard it so many times that my ears are calloused. Every time the market rises, someone rehashes the old stories. Really, when others bought the dip at 5800 and got wrecked at 3200, we should have learned our lesson. Yet, we still fall into the same traps. Unbelievable.
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token_therapistvip
· 12-11 08:01
Here's another textbook-style story of "I've been there, don't step on the same mine." I've heard this saying a hundred times, but when the market is in a frenzy, who would still listen?
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StrawberryIcevip
· 12-11 08:00
Here we go again. Every time they say to find a good entry point, but in the end, they keep waiting and miss out.
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ShitcoinConnoisseurvip
· 12-11 07:54
Haha, here comes the story of bottom-fishing again. I deeply resonate with the feeling of that person at 5800. Don't worry, the Bank of Japan's hurdle hasn't been cleared yet. Altcoins might hit new lows again. I understand the anxiety of missing out, but blindly jumping in is even more dangerous. Let's wait and see the signals first. This market is just here to watch the show; that's better than anything else. The group of people following the trend to buy will probably get cut again. Stay alert.
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