#美联储降息 Buying the novice, selling is the real expert



On the eve of the Federal Reserve's rate cut, the market is filled with anxiety—many are betting "sell-off right after the rate cut announcement." But looking at the order book structure and capital flows, the short-term rebound window has actually been locked in.

We’ve identified the key levels, fully capturing this wave of gains within the $BTC 9150-9450 range and the $ETH 3300-3450 range, then decisively cashing out. The subsequent market volatility is too high; continuing to go all-in would be unwise.

The true essence of trading has never been about chasing every dollar, but about knowing when to stop before the trend reverses.

What is the most common mistake among retail traders? Not understanding their trading cycle. The market swings between “serious undervaluation” and “bubble top,” and the reason trading can be suffocating is fundamentally due to fear of the unknown—this fear causes you to increase positions repeatedly, magnify losses repeatedly, and ultimately end up with nothing.

A stable trading system, small-scale trial and error, and sticking to the long-term cycle—that’s the game for those who want to survive until the end. As long as your execution is solid, your profitable period will eventually arrive.

$BTC $ETH
BTC-4%
ETH-6.61%
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FloorSweepervip
· 12-14 03:55
lol another "i called the top" post... sure jan, maybe show liquidation data instead of just flexing entry/exit ranges 🤷
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DeFiVeteranvip
· 12-14 03:05
It sounds good, but most people will still go all-in on the day of the rate cut and then get wiped out.
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MentalWealthHarvestervip
· 12-13 22:07
That's right, the key is knowing when to withdraw, otherwise you'll really lose everything.
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BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 12-12 17:28
You're so right, I'm just afraid that those people won't listen and will still go all-in.
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screenshot_gainsvip
· 12-11 09:49
That's right, this is indeed a good time for trial and error. Small, repeated tests are much more reliable than going all in.
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LightningLadyvip
· 12-11 09:45
That's right, the key is to know when to withdraw; you can't keep going all-in until dawn.
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MidnightSnapHuntervip
· 12-11 09:39
That's right, it's the same principle. Selling at the high points is indeed the hardest thing, and I have fallen for greed several times, each time thinking to wait a bit longer and then getting reversed. I see your recent moves are very decisive; I was also watching the 9150-9450 range, but unfortunately I hesitated at that time. The worst thing is when fear takes over, and you forget to set stop-losses, then you just slide into the abyss.
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ApyWhisperervip
· 12-11 09:33
You're right, knowing when to run is really more difficult than knowing when to stay.
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LiquidityWizardvip
· 12-11 09:33
honestly the fed panic was so predictable lol... people always think they're smarter than order book flow, statistically they're wrong like 87% of the time. anyway this hodl-till-death mentality is actually mathematically inferior to taking profits at optimal resistance levels, which is like... basic risk-adjusted portfolio management but ok
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