Most folks still don't get it—the gap between linear thinking and what's actually happening in tech innovation keeps widening.
Sequoia's Shaun Maguire dropped some real talk about why predictions constantly miss the mark when it comes to groundbreaking ventures. His take? Humans are wired terribly for exponential shifts.
"People just can't process non-linear progression," he pointed out, referencing how certain infrastructure projects get dismissed until they're suddenly everywhere.
The pattern repeats: skepticism dominates early stages, then rapid adoption blindsides critics. Whether it's tunneling tech or blockchain scalability, the same cognitive blind spot shows up. We measure tomorrow with yesterday's ruler, then act shocked when curves go vertical.
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TommyTeacher1
· 12-11 14:35
Ha, that's why most people always buy the dip halfway up the mountain.
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SchrodingerWallet
· 12-11 09:58
ngl, that's why every time I short and then get slapped in the face... exponential stuff really hits hard and cuts deep.
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ImpermanentPhobia
· 12-11 09:57
To be honest, that's why I missed so many opportunities before... There's no use in regretting now.
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LiquidationWatcher
· 12-11 09:51
To be honest, we are just habitually using linear thinking to view exponential growth... then getting slapped in the face, cycle after cycle.
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StakeTillRetire
· 12-11 09:51
ngl That's why I never listen to those linear thinkers predicting the future... they measure tomorrow with yesterday's ruler and then pretend they see nothing.
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SatoshiLeftOnRead
· 12-11 09:50
NGL, that's why everyone missed out in 2017 and then regretted it in 2024... that exponential stuff really surpasses human intuition.
Most folks still don't get it—the gap between linear thinking and what's actually happening in tech innovation keeps widening.
Sequoia's Shaun Maguire dropped some real talk about why predictions constantly miss the mark when it comes to groundbreaking ventures. His take? Humans are wired terribly for exponential shifts.
"People just can't process non-linear progression," he pointed out, referencing how certain infrastructure projects get dismissed until they're suddenly everywhere.
The pattern repeats: skepticism dominates early stages, then rapid adoption blindsides critics. Whether it's tunneling tech or blockchain scalability, the same cognitive blind spot shows up. We measure tomorrow with yesterday's ruler, then act shocked when curves go vertical.