On December 10th, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, adjusting the interest rate range to 3.50%-3.75%, and also plans to purchase $40 billion worth of government bonds within a month. According to conventional logic, this kind of monetary easing should be bullish for BTC, but the market trend was unexpected.
That day, BTC did not rise but instead fell, dropping 2.14%, and the psychological threshold of $90,000 is in jeopardy. Why is this happening? The main reasons are insufficient buying power, with large funds quietly exiting, and many investors adopting a wait-and-see attitude towards rate cuts in 2026, hesitating to enter the market easily.
Looking back at past records, it’s not uncommon for BTC to crash sharply after FOMC meetings. The recent correction in October saw a maximum decline of nearly 30%. Short-term liquidity improvements are positive, but macroeconomic uncertainty and market sentiment volatility remain significant risks.
So, will BTC stabilize and rebound in the first quarter of 2026? It's too early to tell. Whether the key support levels can hold will be the focus next, and it’s wiser to remain cautious and observant.
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DefiOldTrickster
· 12-13 02:13
Haha, same old logic? Pumping leads to rise, I've seen through this after ten years of playing...
I've seen many big players unload, it's all just tricks.
It's normal that the 90,000 level can't hold; I've seen even more outrageous flash crashes in 2015, and a small dip like that is nothing.
The key is whether there's good arbitrage opportunity below 90,000—that's what I'm really concerned about.
2026? Bro, your prediction is way too far ahead. I just want to know where the liquidation price is.
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GameFiCritic
· 12-11 10:49
It's the same old trick; the simple logic of rates cut leading to a rise and rate hike leading to a fall has been broken. The key is market sentiment. Who dares to take the plunge now?
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CryptoNomics
· 12-11 10:45
actually, if you run a basic correlation matrix between fed announcements and btc intraday volatility, you'd see this "paradox" evaporates immediately. market microstructure > macro narratives, but sure keep blaming "big money selling"
Reply0
FlatlineTrader
· 12-11 10:44
Cutting interest rates and flooding the market are instead causing a sell-off. This situation is truly unsustainable.
Large investors are buying and selling at the same time, while retail investors are still waiting for good news. Wake up, everyone.
If we can't hold $90,000, we'll be liquidated directly.
It's the same old trick; every time there's an FOMC, they play this hand. I've seen through it long ago.
Rather than guessing blindly, it's better to wait until the support level is broken before acting. Entering now is just giving away money.
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MEVHunterBearish
· 12-11 10:35
It's the same old story... I'm tired of hearing the excuse of large funds offloading.
Even if you're optimistic, someone has to buy the dip. This wave has truly been driven by a collapse in sentiment.
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GhostWalletSleuth
· 12-11 10:25
Uh... I've heard this story about large funds offloading so many times, and it's always the same excuse.
Is this really happening this time? It just feels like they're looking for an excuse to drop.
Are we really going to lose the $90,000 support? I can't hold it together anymore.
Cutting interest rates and still falling? I really can't understand this logic. Might as well just say they're smashing the market for a quick profit.
Just wait and see. Anyway, I don't have money to buy the dip... what are you afraid of?
Will the rate cut cause Bitcoin to fall instead?
On December 10th, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, adjusting the interest rate range to 3.50%-3.75%, and also plans to purchase $40 billion worth of government bonds within a month. According to conventional logic, this kind of monetary easing should be bullish for BTC, but the market trend was unexpected.
That day, BTC did not rise but instead fell, dropping 2.14%, and the psychological threshold of $90,000 is in jeopardy. Why is this happening? The main reasons are insufficient buying power, with large funds quietly exiting, and many investors adopting a wait-and-see attitude towards rate cuts in 2026, hesitating to enter the market easily.
Looking back at past records, it’s not uncommon for BTC to crash sharply after FOMC meetings. The recent correction in October saw a maximum decline of nearly 30%. Short-term liquidity improvements are positive, but macroeconomic uncertainty and market sentiment volatility remain significant risks.
So, will BTC stabilize and rebound in the first quarter of 2026? It's too early to tell. Whether the key support levels can hold will be the focus next, and it’s wiser to remain cautious and observant.