Has BTC been bothering you lately? It rises a few hundred dollars and then stalls, drops and drags on. But I have to tell you, the real big show might just be beginning.

There’s breaking news from Japan — the central bank is preparing to raise interest rates. At first glance, this seems far from us, but in reality? The global markets might shake up. Think about it: Japan has had ridiculously low interest rates for years, with a lot of hot money splashing around seeking returns. Now that they’re about to increase deposit interest rates, will this money turn around and flow back? It’s like the most daring players at the poker table suddenly leaving, and the remaining players can’t help but panic.

**The news is quite intense**
The latest survey from Reuters shows that the Bank of Japan is very likely to raise rates by 25 basis points in December, and before September next year, rates could even reach 1%. Don’t underestimate this number; the global liquidity landscape is about to change. Once the yen strengthens, the dollar will weaken in comparison, and the flow of international funds will shift accordingly. Assets like BTC, with high volatility, can be seen as a safe haven, but only if the market doesn’t get scared out first. In the short term, volatility definitely won’t be small.

**Charts are also speaking**
Looking at the technical side, the 4-hour chart has already lit up a yellow warning. BTC is currently hovering around 89,900, with resistance at 91,000 pressing down, and support at 84,000 still holding steady. But this sandwich position is the most uncomfortable — unable to break up or down.

The MACD has already shown a death cross, indicating short-term momentum is clearly lacking; RSI’s three lines are all below 50, showing buying interest is weak; trading volume isn’t showing much activity either, and the rebound feels like it’s been drugged — soft and sluggish. In this state, don’t expect a sudden V-shaped reversal.

Retail investors should do the most right now is to avoid impulsive moves.