2025-12-11 10:23:33

The signals revealed by the Federal Reserve's latest dot plot are worth noting: the first interest rate cut window in 2026 has been pushed back to June, with only two rate cuts expected for the entire year.

For those who are betting on a major liquidity injection next year and a Bitcoin bull market, they may need to readjust their expectations.

My reasoning is as follows—In the first quarter of 2026, altcoins are likely to experience a wave of oversold recovery, but true liquidity easing may not occur until May. If Powell steps down and the "dovish" nominee proposed by Trump takes over the Federal Reserve, that could trigger the next cycle's高潮阶段.

There is a short-term rebound window, but medium-term prospects are full of uncertainties. I recommend everyone to keep the right pace and avoid going all-in at the wrong time.

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UncommonNPC

· 2025-12-14 05:58

Hi again, it's the same old script of delaying rate cuts. I guess the doomcasters will have to change their tune again haha Are they only cutting in June? Then I'll use my Q1 rebound window to buy the dip in the shanzhai, anyway it's all about betting on whether Trump can be trusted or not Never go all in, I love hearing that. Staying prudent is truly the mindset of a winner

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Web3ExplorerLin

· 2025-12-13 09:06

Hypothesis: the fed's dot plot is basically humanity's oldest trick—drawing maps of territory it doesn't actually control yet. Two cuts in 2026? that's not monetary policy, that's a holding pattern masquerading as a roadmap.

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AirdropHunterXiao

· 2025-12-11 10:53

Uh... two rate cuts? Is that called easing liquidity? Wake up, everyone. --- Again, waiting until June. How long do I have to hold my altcoins now? --- Friends who are all in, you're in trouble now, haha. --- Basically, just keep holding on and watch Trump's pick. --- I believe in a rebound in the first quarter, but the real good news is probably still far away. --- This move really makes people uncomfortable. The market next year might not be as optimistic as expected. --- Wait, will Powell really step down? This uncertainty is too big. --- So should I increase my position now or wait and see... headache. --- With so few rate cuts, how can the crypto market surge? Don’t overthink it. --- The medium-term is full of uncertainties, which means no confidence. Who dares to go all in? Only a fool.

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Whale_Whisperer

· 2025-12-11 10:53

Coming back with this again? The interest rate was cut in June, and the promised big bull market next year—now it's awkward haha

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