2025-12-11 13:21:28

Last month on the 11th, Benjamin Melman, the head of asset management giant Edmond de Rothschild, made a public statement — don’t expect the European Central Bank to raise interest rates in 2026, "We completely do not believe in this possibility."

His reasoning is quite solid: the German economy has been sluggish for several years, and only recently has it started large-scale fiscal stimulus; France is also dealing with a bunch of fiscal deficits. At such a critical juncture, if the central bank were to reverse course and tighten monetary policy, it would be a foolish move that invites trouble.

More importantly, based on market data from LSEG, traders are not reacting at all to the possibility of a 2026 rate hike by the European Central Bank; the currency market has not priced in such expectations. In other words, the market is voting with real money — this will not happen.

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HappyMinerUncle

· 12-14 11:14

European Central Bank raising interest rates? Dream on haha, no one in the market believes it --- Europe will still be bleeding cash before 2026, where's the room for a rate hike? --- Even Rothschilds say so, retail investors are still dreaming --- Both Germany and France are rotten through, if the central banks dare to raise interest rates, it won't be long before they fall apart --- Just look at how traders are doing — they completely ignore this issue --- This guy is right, the European Central Bank is stuck due to economic realities --- Laugh out loud, does anyone really believe there will be a rate hike in 2026? The market has already voted

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BearMarketBuilder

· 12-13 00:41

European Central Bank rate hike? Don't even think about it; the market has already voted. --- A rate hike in 2026 is purely a fantasy; just look at the mess in Germany and France. --- Rothschild is right, nobody in the money market believes this at all. --- If the central bank really hikes rates in 2026, that's outrageous. The economy is still tightening? That's suicidal. --- With the market voting like this, who still expects the ECB to reverse? Wake up. --- Honestly, traders are not worried about the ECB rate hike at all. That says everything. --- Germany and France are both a mess. The ECB dares to hike rates? Haha, that’s hilarious. --- Instead of waiting for a rate hike in 2026, it's better to buy Bitcoin; that's much more reliable. --- The market has spoken with real money; forget about a rate hike. --- This guy's analysis is clear; the European Central Bank has no chance in the short term.

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ChainPoet

· 12-12 20:09

The euro thing, really there's no hope anymore, the market all knows it well --- The Rothschild family has said so, who else can you expect to raise interest rates? Haha --- In 2026, the European Central Bank will still have to continue easing, otherwise Germany and France can't bear it --- Traders haven't taken any action, indicating that this expectation isn't really being priced in --- The most honest vote is in the currency market; nobody believes there will be a rate hike in 2026 --- The European Central Bank is tied up, with such poor fiscal policy, how could they tighten? --- This is the so-called "market has already priced it in," everyone who understands knows --- It's been clear for a long time, the European Central Bank must keep interest rates low at all costs

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OnchainArchaeologist

· 12-11 13:42

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates again in 2026. Both Germany and France are doing the same—who still believes it? Even the Rothschild family has said so, and the market didn't take it seriously. So, it's stable now. Honestly, given Europe's economic situation, raising interest rates is just courting disaster. It's another show of the market voting with money, and the outcome has already been written.

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ImpermanentSage

· 12-11 13:31

Will the European Central Bank still raise interest rates in 2026? Dream on. Just look at the mess in Germany and France to know --- The market has already voted early; traders aren't taking it seriously. What's there to discuss? --- Rothschild is right—talking about tightening now is basically a suicidal move --- With the fiscal deficit piling up, how can monetary policy tighten further? Are you brain dead? --- This is the key point—market pricing is all smoke and mirrors; real gold and silver never lie --- Don't you know what Germany's economy has been like in recent years? Still expecting the central bank to show a tough stance? --- Wait, is this guy serious? Raising rates in 2026? I've thought this was a joke since last year --- LSEG's data is right here, the market simply doesn't believe it, so there's no hope --- This European mess—raising rates? Ha, better to get the deficit under control first

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OldLeekNewSickle

· 12-11 13:29

Ah, well, people from the Rofu family have already said this, and the market hasn't reacted. Does this mean the European Central Bank really plans to lie flat in 2026? --- The expectation of easing is locked in, which is good for euro depreciation... Speaking of which, why do I always feel like hearing this kind of argument makes me prone to "chasing highs"? --- Market pricing is the real truth; traders' money won't lie. It's more honest than any official statement. --- Germany and France's economies are so weak and they still want to hike interest rates? That's a bad idea. Melman's words are basically saying—keep easing without compromise. --- I respect data-driven arguments, but saying "completely disbelieve" this phrase is a bit absolute. To be cautious, it's better to look at multiple perspectives. --- The ECB backing down in the short term is a positive for certain assets... But what about the long-term inflation problem? Can't keep printing money forever, right? --- Market voting is already very clear. Instead of guessing what the central bank is thinking, it's better to follow the chips. This logic is sound.

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GateUser-7b078580

· 12-11 13:22

The data shows that traders are not pricing it at all, although I've seen this logic many times before... 2026 is still early, let's wait and see.

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