Being awakened by a margin call notification in the middle of the night, I opened my eyes to see my holdings so green they looked like a leek field—this rapid decline was so fast I barely had time to curse.
Scrolling through Telegram groups and Discord, everywhere is full of complaints like "buying the dip halfway up the mountain," and some are obsessing over the "market manipulation theory." To be honest, brothers shouting "manipulation" at every dip probably still need to pay a few rounds of cognitive tax in this circle. This flash crash was not some "outrageous dump," but a textbook-level liquidity stampede. Unfortunately, most retail investors are completely unaware of this underlying logic.
After years of experience, today I’ll explain clearly—understand these two key concepts so that next time you face a similar blowout, you won't panic and sell recklessly.
**Number One Killer: The US Treasury Bond Issuance "Money-Absorbing Beast" Unleashes Full Firepower**
First, understand the big picture: Recently, the US government almost had a shutdown, and the Treasury's cash reserves (the TGA account) were nearly exhausted. The entire market was like a reservoir in the dry season—liquidity available was painfully scarce. The Fed previously tried to add some liquidity to the banking system, but those funds were quickly drained by the bond market’s bottomless pit.
This time, they auctioned three-month and six-month short-term bonds, planning to raise $163 billion, but the actual sale soared to $170.69 billion. Don’t get confused by the numbers—simply put: the hot short-term money circulating in the market was pulled out by $163 billion in an instant.
To give an analogy: your home faucet already has weak water pressure, then a nearby construction site suddenly connects a large pipe to grab water aggressively—your tap will hardly flow. In periods of ample liquidity, this isn’t a big deal, but now we are in a tightening cycle! In the crypto market, high-risk assets depend entirely on liquidity support. If this blood is so suddenly drained, can the coins withstand it?
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 12-12 09:08
Another liquidity stampede show, TGA burning money and US bonds wildly absorbing... I should have seen through this logic long ago.
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SleepyValidator
· 12-12 01:00
It's the same old story of US debt bloodsucking again. I just want to know when it'll be the turn for crypto to breathe a sigh of relief. Being constantly cut for chives is enough already.
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MerkleTreeHugger
· 12-11 14:52
Here we go again? I believe in liquidity footfalls, but it's really not an excuse, right? I understand the bleeding of US bonds, but the problem is, why was there no early warning?
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FantasyGuardian
· 12-11 14:50
It's the same story again. Every time, they talk about liquidity crashes. It sounds nice, but honestly, it's just the whales harvesting.
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SatoshiChallenger
· 12-11 14:45
You're making up stories again. The claim that US debt financing is bleeding the crypto market is something I heard last year, but guess what, the coins are still rising.
Data showing when US debt financing can directly explain crypto crashes? That causal relationship itself is questionable.
Ironically, the big players have long since left, and the remaining retail investors are still analyzing liquidity dips—interesting.
$163 billion sounds frightening, but in the context of the global daily trading volume? Not worth mentioning.
Instead of blaming US debt or market makers, maybe ask yourself why you always like to go all-in with leverage.
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ReverseTradingGuru
· 12-11 14:44
Here we go again, I'm already tired of the liquidity踩踏 story. The key is how to stop the bleeding, brother.
Being awakened by a margin call notification in the middle of the night, I opened my eyes to see my holdings so green they looked like a leek field—this rapid decline was so fast I barely had time to curse.
Scrolling through Telegram groups and Discord, everywhere is full of complaints like "buying the dip halfway up the mountain," and some are obsessing over the "market manipulation theory." To be honest, brothers shouting "manipulation" at every dip probably still need to pay a few rounds of cognitive tax in this circle. This flash crash was not some "outrageous dump," but a textbook-level liquidity stampede. Unfortunately, most retail investors are completely unaware of this underlying logic.
After years of experience, today I’ll explain clearly—understand these two key concepts so that next time you face a similar blowout, you won't panic and sell recklessly.
**Number One Killer: The US Treasury Bond Issuance "Money-Absorbing Beast" Unleashes Full Firepower**
First, understand the big picture: Recently, the US government almost had a shutdown, and the Treasury's cash reserves (the TGA account) were nearly exhausted. The entire market was like a reservoir in the dry season—liquidity available was painfully scarce. The Fed previously tried to add some liquidity to the banking system, but those funds were quickly drained by the bond market’s bottomless pit.
This time, they auctioned three-month and six-month short-term bonds, planning to raise $163 billion, but the actual sale soared to $170.69 billion. Don’t get confused by the numbers—simply put: the hot short-term money circulating in the market was pulled out by $163 billion in an instant.
To give an analogy: your home faucet already has weak water pressure, then a nearby construction site suddenly connects a large pipe to grab water aggressively—your tap will hardly flow. In periods of ample liquidity, this isn’t a big deal, but now we are in a tightening cycle! In the crypto market, high-risk assets depend entirely on liquidity support. If this blood is so suddenly drained, can the coins withstand it?