Recently, the market has been buzzing about one thing: a certain country's leader suddenly announced the removal of agricultural product tariffs. At first glance, this seems unrelated to the crypto world, but upon closer examination, the transmission path is quite clear.



When the cost of agricultural products drops, inflation data is likely to follow suit. It's important to note that the Federal Reserve is currently watching CPI more closely than anyone else. If inflation indeed cools down, the expectation for rate hikes will loosen, and the US dollar index may not hold up. This is where it gets interesting—the traditional logic suggests that a weaker dollar should benefit safe-haven assets like Bitcoin, but the actual situation might be more complex.

Improved economic data will bring two effects: on one hand, Bitcoin's safe-haven halo may fade in the short term (after all, panic sentiment is retreating); on the other hand, market risk appetite will increase, and funds may prefer to pour into high-beta assets like Ethereum and various altcoins. In plain terms, we might see Bitcoin sideways trading while altcoins dance wildly.

Of course, this is just a logical deduction; the crypto market has never played by conventional rules. At this point, keeping an eye on the volatility of major coins and maintaining flexible positions is more important than anything else. After all, once policy news breaks, the market often experiences an initial emotional outburst, and rational pricing only becomes clear after the dust settles.
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YieldHuntervip
· 12-12 02:48
tbh the macro correlation angle here is solid, but most degens won't bother looking past "tariffs drop = btc up lol"... actually if you check the data, reallocation into alts when risk-on kicks in is the real play. beta's about to run.
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consensus_failurevip
· 12-11 14:53
Once tariffs are removed, you start thinking about coins? Wake up, those Federal Reserve folks are much smarter than us. --- So you're saying the altcoins are about to take off, should I go all-in on Ethereum now? --- The logic isn't flawed, the problem is, when has the market ever followed logic? --- Another round of speculation, and in the end, it's still "stay flexible." I'm so tired of hearing that phrase. --- Policy → Inflation → Rate Hikes → US Dollar → Bitcoin, the chain is as long as a spring, who knows where it will rebound to. --- Bitcoin sideways trading, altcoins dancing wildly, sounds like it's nothing, which is obvious. --- If there was such a clear transmission path, would we need analysis? I've already bottomed out.
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TestnetNomadvip
· 12-11 14:52
Will agricultural product tariffs really move the coin price? Feels a bit mysterious. --- Basically, betting that the Federal Reserve will loosen up, but how many times has the crypto circle played out this script in the past two months? --- Is an altcoin about to take off? I scoff, every time it's said, it ends in all red. --- Wait, isn't this logic backwards? Cooling inflation should actually make the dollar stronger? --- It's the same "flexible positioning" rhetoric again, sounds like they haven't figured out what to do. --- When the boot drops, it'll probably be a fake fall again. Policy news is always first hype, then disappointment.
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mev_me_maybevip
· 12-11 14:51
Hmm... Agricultural product tariffs? What should crypto people care about? It feels like every time macro news comes out, I have to recalculate my positions. Are altcoins about to take off? Why do I feel like I can come up with this logic every month, and in the end, only the big players are laughing? Wait, if inflation really drops, will the Federal Reserve really loosen? Why do I find it so hard to believe? Sideways Bitcoin is really painful to watch. It's better to go all-in on high beta and gamble a shot. Flexible operations are heard the most, but losing money happens even faster.
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DAOplomacyvip
· 12-11 14:51
honestly the whole tariff → inflation → fed policy chain is *chef's kiss* for institutional narrative building, but like... have we considered the market just does whatever it wants anyway lol. altseason take is spicy tho, ngl.
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CoffeeNFTsvip
· 12-11 14:49
Why does the agricultural product tariff issue relate to crypto prices? Alright, I believe you. --- Wait, if inflation drops, does that mean the dollar has to back down? Feels like the crypto circle is just making up stories again. --- Altcoins dancing wildly sounds good, let's wait and see the dust settle before talking. --- This logical chain is too long, if any link breaks in the middle, I get caught. --- I hate sideways Bitcoin the most; altcoins are more exciting. --- When policies come out, the market first goes crazy and then prices are set. I buy the dip during this madness. --- If the US dollar index can't hold up, why isn't it rising? Feels like it's exaggerated. --- The flexibility of positions is right to say, but who knows when that flexibility will be needed? --- Canceling agricultural product tariffs → inflation falls back → rate hikes loosen → dollar weakens → crypto rises? The logic is clear, but how probable is it? --- Stop, wait until there are real data before talking. Right now, it's all hypothetical.
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OldLeekConfessionvip
· 12-11 14:37
Hah, can tariffs on agricultural products really affect the price of cryptocurrencies? It sounds a bit far-fetched, but upon closer reflection, the logic does hold together. Damn, it's the Federal Reserve and CPI again, always so complicated. I just want to know when Bitcoin will break ten thousand. Are altcoins about to take off? I bet five bucks that this time they'll first rise high and then dump, same old trick. It's called flexible positioning in a nice way, but actually it's just not knowing when to buy or sell haha. Wait, are you saying that a decline in inflation is actually bad for Bitcoin? Should I reduce or increase my holdings now? Who can save my brain? After venting emotions, I’ll check again? Then I might as well lie flat, I always miss out anyway.
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CryptoComedianvip
· 12-11 14:32
Smiling and then crying, what does the agricultural product tariff have to do with my position, brother? I can tolerate Bitcoin sideways trading, but I'm really worried about those altcoins going wild. The boots haven't even landed yet, don't rush to set prices; market sentiment release is the real intensity. Once inflation drops, the dollar won't be able to hold up, and then we'll see whose mentality is tougher. This logic isn't wrong, but the crypto market has never believed in that set.
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