2025-12-12 02:10:41

The USD Index's performance this week has been quite interesting — it has been oscillating within a downward channel. Looking at the daily chart, a descending wedge has formed, with the 100 key level showing obvious resistance. The dollar's weakness itself is actually a positive signal for the crypto market, especially for non-USD assets like Bitcoin.

From a different perspective, market sentiment around the year-end is generally optimistic. Many are considering trading opportunities before and after the Spring Festival — after all, this time window has historically been prone to liquidity fluctuations. Mainstream coins like $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL have already attracted considerable attention lately.

The key now is whether the USD Index can effectively break through this resistance zone. If it continues to weaken, the rebound potential of the target assets is definitely worth期待. Of course, we also need to guard against sudden policy shocks — as regulatory frameworks are continuously improving, market participants' focus on compliance is increasing. In the short term, there is still room for this wave of行情 to develop.

BTC-0.68%

ETH0.42%

SOL-0.39%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

26 Likes

Reward
26
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DefiPlaybook

· 14h ago

According to on-chain data, the probability of the US dollar index falling below 100 is indeed increasing. However, it is worth noting that — such technical breakout pressures are often easily countered by policy measures. Based on historical review, the SEC's regulatory actions usually trigger market reassessment within 24-72 hours. It is recommended to closely monitor changes in compliance expectations.

View OriginalReply0

probably_nothing_anon

· 12-13 11:20

The US dollar weakening is indeed good news, but as for the Spring Festival market... to be honest, it's a bit hollow. --- Improving regulatory framework is good, but I'm worried policies will cause complications again, and then all efforts will be for nothing. --- Breakout of the wedge past the 100 level? I don’t think so; during this period around the year-end, funds are all withdrawing. --- BTC, ETH, SOL take turns rising; it feels like this wave is really coming. Just waiting for the Spring Festival fireworks show. --- The phrase "Prevent policy shocks" hit a sore spot. Compliance and related issues should have been taken seriously long ago. --- The trend of the US dollar index is quite interesting, but whether it can sustain the rebound is really hard to say. --- The optimistic sentiment at year-end is unreliable; I've seen too many false booms before the Spring Festival. --- Funds are highly volatile; only those with enough guts should enter at this time. --- Want to see how the 100 level is broken, but I bet the US dollar will keep stirring for a while.

View OriginalReply0

StableGenius

· 12-13 06:47

nah tbh the "weakening dollar = crypto rally" thesis is getting boring... we've seen this movie before and it never plays out as clean as people think

Reply0

WenMoon

· 12-12 02:40

I won't believe it until the dollar breaks 100; I feel like I'm overthinking again...

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHermit

· 12-12 02:39

When the US dollar softens, BTC hardens. I've known this logic for a long time. The key question is whether the funds will really flow in during the Spring Festival. It feels like everyone is waiting for the right moment but no one dares to act first.

View OriginalReply0

OldLeekMaster

· 12-12 02:36

Breaking $100 should be the start of the rise; during the year-end rush, I'm just worried that policies might come and disrupt the rhythm.

View OriginalReply0

AlwaysMissingTops

· 12-12 02:36

The weakening of the US dollar indeed brought some benefits to the crypto circle, but I still think we should be cautious about this wave of the Spring Festival market, as liquidity tends to be volatile. Honestly, the increasingly完善监管 framework is somewhat annoying; trading cryptocurrencies was originally about freedom. Once BTC rises again, it's probably time to run; historically, this level is prone to reversals. I'm a bit hesitant when the US dollar index breaks 100, I always feel there might be a backlash. Rising regulatory attention? Isn't that just the prelude to harvesting retail investors? Liquidity fluctuations during the Spring Festival, anyone holding some coins wouldn't be embarrassed to chat. I'll wait and see about the breakdown of the descending wedge; no need to rush. Talking about regulatory innovation as if it's just trying to choke us, it's the same old story.

View OriginalReply0

MetamaskMechanic

· 12-12 02:34

The weakness of the US dollar is real this time; the 100 level just won't break. However, before the Spring Festival, the market liquidity is indeed prone to volatility. I need to keep a close eye on this window.

View OriginalReply0

PrivateKeyParanoia

· 12-12 02:23

The $100 mark in USD still holding strong; whether it breaks or not is really crucial. --- The Spring Festival window is indeed a good opportunity, but don’t get blinded by FOMO. Compliance must be closely watched. --- It sounds positive that the regulatory framework is improving, but... we all know the nature of regulation. --- BTC rebound potential is worth期待, but sudden policy shocks must also be guarded against. It’s really tough. --- Planning the Spring Festival行情 again? I always feel like I say this every time, and then what happens? --- A weak USD is indeed利好, but this is also when black swan events are most likely to occur. --- Has the descending wedge broken? If it delays any further, I’ll really laugh out loud. --- What does rising compliance mean? More big players willing to enter the market. --- Optimistic about the year-end? I only see those holding at high levels praying for a rebound.

View OriginalReply0

ShibaMillionairen't

· 12-12 02:21

If the US dollar can't break below 100, then let's just comfortably hold coins and not think too much.

View OriginalReply0

Trending TopicsView More
#FedRateCutComing
681.97K Popularity
#PostonSquaretoEarn$50
66.86K Popularity
#GateNovTransparencyReportReleased
22.45K Popularity
#BitcoinActivityPicksUp
17.3K Popularity
#CryptoMarketRebound
547.34K Popularity

Hot Gate FunView More

1
RBREBTN
MC:$3.6KHolders:1
0.00%
2
WoLFWolf Coin
MC:$3.62KHolders:2
0.09%
3
14332231433223
MC:$3.63KHolders:2
0.12%
4
SoSoSoSo
MC:$3.58KHolders:1
0.00%
5
GugeAICNGugeAI.cn
MC:$3.59KHolders:1
0.00%

Sitemap