#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 12.12 Market Observation: Macroeconomic Weakening BTC in Transition Period

Latest US data shows initial jobless claims rising sharply to 236,000, with market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts significantly increasing. This is a positive signal for risk assets from a liquidity perspective.

From the market structure, Bitcoin is experiencing a 1 to 2-month consolidation phase. Short-term funds are gradually shifting, institutional investors and medium to long-term funds are taking over, which is a characteristic feature of the bottom range. There will be fluctuations, but the overall trend still points upward.

Three supporting factors are still exerting influence:

First, large funds continue to increase their positions. Second, expectations of rate cuts are growing stronger. Third, regulatory attitudes are clearly becoming more friendly.

The operational strategy is clear—gradually allocate to mainstream assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, and SOL, and wait until trend signals are sufficiently clear before pursuing breakthroughs to new highs. No need to rush.

It is important to note that macro environment and market sentiment may fluctuate. Maintain disciplined position management, avoid chasing highs, and never hold full positions. Flexibility and control always come first.