#加密生态动态追踪 Recently, the win rate of contract trading has been continuously declining. I took some time to review my trading records and realized that the root of the problem is actually quite painful—it's not that my system is broken, but that the market has quietly changed its face, and I am still using the old strategies.

The most intuitive feeling is: the market is gradually weakening, and trading volume is noticeably shrinking. This directly leads to two issues—frequent false breakouts, and support and resistance levels that are unreliable. Yet I am still stubbornly chasing breakouts, opening positions frequently in a low-liquidity environment. The result? The market keeps teaching me lessons—stop-losses hit one after another, and my account keeps getting cut repeatedly.

The key is that during this stage, a situation where both longs and shorts are washed out easily can occur. When the market is unclear and liquidity is tight, strategies that purely chase prices are inherently at a disadvantage. Continuing like this, not only will I fail to make money, but just taking stop-losses can wear me down.

So I made some adjustments:

One is changing the entry approach—from blindly chasing breakouts to waiting for a rebound and confirmation before entering. It sounds slow, but using higher confirmation costs to reduce the chances of falling for false breakouts is worth it.

Second is strictly controlling risk—restraining each trade and setting hard limits on maximum daily or phase losses.

Basically, the logic is: in this trash market, rather than trading frequently to find opportunities, it’s better to make fewer mistakes. Staying alive is more important than making money. $ETH is also repeatedly testing support in this wave of pullback, and the same principle applies.