Recently, there have been rumors circulating everywhere in the community that Japan will raise interest rates on December 19th, and a large amount of capital will be withdrawn. This could be a big event. Hearing this repeatedly, it's hard not to feel a bit anxious. But upon closer reflection, is it really that serious?

Let's first look at the real situation regarding Japan's interest rate hike. In fact, as early as 2024, the Bank of Japan had already started the process of raising interest rates, gradually moving from negative rates to the current 0.5%. Over the past two years, there have been several rounds of adjustments. If the market really reacted that sensitively to rate hikes, why didn't the capital start fleeing gradually over these two years, instead of waiting until today—an obvious date for everyone to know—to all rush out at once? That logic doesn't add up.

There's also a key data point: even if capital does flow out due to the rate hike, industry estimates suggest the amount would be around 2 trillion yen. In the entire global financial system, this scale is like throwing a stone into the ocean—there's hardly any splash, let alone triggering market turbulence.

The biggest trap in crypto trading is listening to rumors. The market itself is already volatile enough; if you start acting on unverified rumors, it's easy to make mistakes and end up losing money. So the key is: stay alert to news, ask yourself more questions like "Why?", analyze calmly instead of being driven by emotions. Only then can you survive longer in this market and truly seize opportunities.