The Federal Reserve has played the card of interest rate cuts, yet volatility has decreased. Sounds like good news? Only by looking closely at the data do we realize — the 25 Delta skew remains in a bearish position, with 60% of recent active buying pushing into put options. The underlying logic is quite sobering: big funds don’t truly believe that this rate cut can rescue the market; they are positioning for risk hedging, preparing for the worst-case scenario.
On the surface, everything seems calm, but behind the scenes, they are already playing chess. This is how the market operates: while retail investors are still cheering for rate cuts, smart money is thinking on a different level — can a rate cut truly pump the market? Or is macro policy just offering sugar on one side while sharpening the knife on the other?
This is not the murmuring of bears, but a genuine assessment of the market. The crypto market always moves faster than the news; while everyone is still chasing gains or cutting losses based on headlines, those who are certain of profit have long been reserving chips for extreme situations. It’s not about being bearish; it’s about understanding a fundamental logic — those who don’t leave their fate entirely to luck are the ones who last the longest.
I leave you and myself with this final thought: opportunities are always there, but when a real crisis hits, do you still have chips to "keep playing"? Those who are quietly accumulating now are already answering this question.
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BankruptWorker
· 12-13 03:18
Large funds are positioning in put options, while retail investors are still celebrating rate cuts. The gap is more than just a little.
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WhaleStalker
· 12-12 13:28
Large funds are buying dips, and those still chasing the rally are probably going to suffer losses.
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MevWhisperer
· 12-12 13:26
Being able to see clearly often leads to disbelief; while retail investors cheer, smart money has already hedged.
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DaoTherapy
· 12-12 13:18
Smart money is hedging short positions, retail investors are still partying... what a gap
#数字资产生态回暖 $BTC $The story of @ETH@ is not over yet.
The Federal Reserve has played the card of interest rate cuts, yet volatility has decreased. Sounds like good news? Only by looking closely at the data do we realize — the 25 Delta skew remains in a bearish position, with 60% of recent active buying pushing into put options. The underlying logic is quite sobering: big funds don’t truly believe that this rate cut can rescue the market; they are positioning for risk hedging, preparing for the worst-case scenario.
On the surface, everything seems calm, but behind the scenes, they are already playing chess. This is how the market operates: while retail investors are still cheering for rate cuts, smart money is thinking on a different level — can a rate cut truly pump the market? Or is macro policy just offering sugar on one side while sharpening the knife on the other?
This is not the murmuring of bears, but a genuine assessment of the market. The crypto market always moves faster than the news; while everyone is still chasing gains or cutting losses based on headlines, those who are certain of profit have long been reserving chips for extreme situations. It’s not about being bearish; it’s about understanding a fundamental logic — those who don’t leave their fate entirely to luck are the ones who last the longest.
I leave you and myself with this final thought: opportunities are always there, but when a real crisis hits, do you still have chips to "keep playing"? Those who are quietly accumulating now are already answering this question.