2025-12-12 14:14:50

Although the Federal Reserve has hinted that a rate cut is unlikely in the near term, most Wall Street investment banks still expect two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points next year. Citigroup expects rate cuts in January and March; Morgan Stanley expects cuts in January and April; Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Barclays expect cuts in March and June.

JPMorgan and UBS expect only one rate cut. Standard Chartered and HSBC expect no rate cuts next year. CME data shows a 24.4% probability of a rate cut in January.

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