Looks like a generous policy, but behind it lies deep reservations. On one hand, it offers the benefits of rate cuts and bond purchases; on the other hand, it uses a hawkish dot plot to silence the market.


Market exuberance quickly faded. Experienced traders understood the underlying message: "Money is given to you, but don’t get too excited."
This seemingly contradictory signal actually reveals the core logic for the next six months. For crypto assets, the real story is just beginning.
**1. Deconstructing this contradiction: not rescue, but stability maintenance**
The key to this decision is less about "what was added" and more about "what was not added."
There are indeed some elements: the third round of rate cuts confirms inflation is retreating, preventing a hard landing; the $40 billion monthly bond purchases essentially plug liquidity gaps to prevent sudden tightening of funds at year-end. It’s like giving blood to an anemic person—the goal is to save lives, not to run a marathon.
What’s not easing: the 2026 interest rate roadmap has clearly become more cautious, indicating limited room for future rate cuts, shattering market expectations of prolonged easing; Powell’s repeated emphasis on "data-driven" means that as soon as inflation or employment data slightly underperform, the entire "rescue" could immediately reverse.
**The core logic is clear: this is not the start of a new easing cycle, but a targeted liquidity adjustment. The goal is to maintain the bottom line, not to push the market higher.**
2. Why crypto...
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
DaoResearchervip
· 12-12 20:51
From the data perspective of governance proposals, this "giving money but setting limits" tactic is actually a classic example of incentive incompatibility. When the dot chart is laid out in 2026, the entire narrative of "unlimited liquidity" will fall apart. To put it simply, Powell is playing a game—offering some sweeteners to prevent a hard landing, but the ceiling is set here. It’s worth noting how much impact this has on the Tokenomics model of crypto assets. Short-term liquidity stabilizers ≠ long-term value support; if this logic holds... But honestly, whether the market understands it or not is another matter.
View OriginalReply0
NFTArchaeologisvip
· 12-12 20:51
Rather than hearing a rescue signal, it's more like hearing a "Don't overthink it." Liquidity is like cultural relic preservation — it's not about appreciating its value, but about preventing it from shattering. The fact that next year's rate cut room is blocked is the real news.
View OriginalReply0
GhostAddressMinervip
· 12-12 20:48
Money is given to you but don't get excited; this套路 has long been seen through on-chain. The 40 billion bond purchase is just to patch the holes; the interest rate roadmap for 2026 is the real story, and the room for rate cuts is very limited. The market frenzy is fake; maintaining stability is the true goal. Powell's statement "data will decide" is a signal for a potential reversal at any time. The next six months of crypto stories depend on how liquidity moves; it's not the time for celebration yet.
View OriginalReply0
MidnightTradervip
· 12-12 20:45
Haha, got played again. The price has dropped a bit, but the ceiling is also sealed off. --- Powell's move is just playing the market for fools. --- Stability? Basically, it's just fear of something going wrong. Where's the big market rally? --- So the bottom is here, right? Starting to accumulate spot holdings, everyone. --- This is the truth. Giving hope but not a future. That's how the contradiction arises. --- Wait, could this actually be a positive for shitcoins? --- The 2026 chart is already cooling off. When do you think it will explode? Wake up. --- No matter how good the words sound, it can't change the fact. I went all-in on cash a long time ago.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)