Recently, the AVAX market has been quite interesting—completely divided. On one side, the bulls are full of confidence; on the other, the bears are holding firm, each believing they are right. When will this divergence end? Usually, a violent fluctuation will push everyone to the same side.

Here are a few signals we should pay attention to:

First is the liquidation data. The situation in the last 24 hours has been somewhat extreme—short liquidations are actually ten times the long liquidations. What does this mean? The leveraged short positions are being significantly wiped out, and the exhaustion of the bears' strength is already quite evident. This is an important market signal.

Second is the flow of funds. Although historically there have been instances of large funds withdrawing, what’s interesting now is that new funds are testing around this sensitive price level. This isn’t random order sweeping; it’s observing the market’s reaction.

Finally, the sentiment differences between various exchanges are surprisingly large. Some leading exchanges have a long ratio exceeding 80%, while other platforms have a short ratio approaching 70%. The consensus among exchanges has completely collapsed. Historical experience tells us that such drastic divergence often indicates that a major market change is imminent.

Based on these observations, our strategy is very clear:

🎯 The first key price level: 13.800. If we can break through here, it will resolve part of the market divergence.

🎯 The second key price level: above 14.350. Breaking through this level will lead to a more thorough clearing of opposing sentiments.

Trading is essentially a game of probabilities. We focus on the opportunities with the highest winning chances.