2025-12-14 13:50:33

#加密生态动态追踪 The central bank is about to shift its stance, and Japan may begin an interest rate hike cycle on December 19th.

Data shows that the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates by 25 basis points this month has soared to 98%, with only a 2% chance of maintaining the current rate level. Once implemented, this will be a significant adjustment within its long-term ultra-loose monetary policy framework.

The market has already priced in this expectation. The key question is—when the global central bank policy environment changes, where will capital flow? A series of chain reactions may already be brewing, from U.S. stocks to bond markets and then to cryptocurrencies. Will mainstream tokens like $ETH, $BNB, $DOGE, etc., be affected?

This cycle could be a watershed moment. Pay attention to the interest rate decision announcement on December 19th and see whether reality will unfold as the market expects.

ETH-1,11%

BNB1,14%

DOGE-2,19%

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ChainPoet

· 2025-12-17 12:45

98% probability? Feels like it's been pumped up long ago; the real reaction might come after the resolution...

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UnluckyLemur

· 2025-12-17 12:30

There's a 98% chance this has already been overhyped. The real question is whether the retail investors rushing in can survive past December 19th.

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 2025-12-14 14:20

98% probability? Feels like the Bank of Japan is really going to move this time, it's a bit unsettling just to watch.

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LiquidatedTwice

· 2025-12-14 13:58

98% probability, is it real or fake? Feels like another stage play before a new round of cutting leeks.

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FromMinerToFarmer

· 2025-12-14 13:57

98% probability... It feels like everything is too certain, which might actually lead to problems. --- The Japanese interest rate hike has been overhyped for a long time; the key still depends on how the dollar moves. --- Wait, will funds really flow out of crypto like this? Not necessarily, I feel. --- December 19th, go all-in on a short? Or should I take the opposite approach... --- Another "watershed," I've heard this word a hundred times this year, haha. --- $BNB I'm not too worried, mainly whether $ETH will get hammered again. --- Forget it, even a 98% chance can still fall short; I don't believe in such probabilities. --- Instead of guessing central bank policies, it's better to look at on-chain data; which wallet the money is coming from is more real.

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