#美联储降息 Pinning doesn’t chase, only the heights are the real deal!

Last night, I shorted Ethereum at 3100 and took a 50-point spread. The deep V-shaped rebound was a bit disgusting, but it’s not a big problem—I closed the position after reducing my holdings to protect my capital. You ask me how I view trading? Honestly, it’s about "enlightenment." A truly profitable trader needs the correct mindset as a foundation, then develop reliable trading habits. The key is to use consistent rules and action, eliminate that prideful streak and human weaknesses.

This week, Bitcoin’s K-line formed a small inverted hammer candlestick, and the weekly gap has been filled. The daily chart saw a large bearish candle breaking through the mid-line support, with limited space below. It bottomed out and rebounded shortly. The MACD has decreased in bullish momentum, while the KDJ shows a dead cross downward, so this short-term pin-like bounce is nothing to fear. This morning, the highest rebound was near 90,000. Retail traders probably aren’t really chasing the rally here, right? The 4-hour chart shows four consecutive large bearish candles, with key levels to watch above at 90,500 (also the daily mid-line), and then 92,000 and 94,000. Opportunities for shorting are around these levels. Support levels below are 89,000, 87,500, and 86,000. The weekly target points are 82,000 and 80,000. For the long term, I remain bearish below 75,000.

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a long upper shadow on the bullish doji star, and the daily moves up and down accordingly. Resistance above is at 3150, 3250, and 3400. Short positions should focus around these levels. Support below is at 3050, 2950, and 2800. The long-term target for shorts is around 2600 and 2500.

Life is like a clock; you can return to the starting point but never go back to yesterday. Market behavior repeats, but it’s never exactly the same—just because you saw a certain trend once doesn’t mean you can profit from it next time. The biggest mistake in investing is impatience, and the most deadly is impulsiveness. If you treat analysis as a task or trading as a burden, you’re off track. Staring at K-line fluctuations every day, acting like you’re on the battlefield, ruins the elegance of trading. Don’t walk backward, or all you’ll see are tears.