#美联储降息 BTC Market Outlook and Strategy for Tomorrow

Market Overview

BTC remains volatile around 90,000 in the short term, with a weak structure; resistance levels are at 91,296, 92,630–93,795, and 94,251. Support levels are at 89,006, 88,419, and 85,000. Spot and ETF capital flows are weak, with approximately $58.81 billion in open leveraged contracts, which may lead to increased volatility.

Strategy

- Range Trading: Light short positions around 91,300 with a stop loss at 92,650; long positions around 89,000 with a stop loss at 88,300; single trades ≤1% of capital, risk-reward ratio ≥2:1.
- Breakout Follow-up: If the 15-minute K-line closes above 94,251 with increased volume, go long with a target of 98,100 and a stop loss at 93,000.
- Invalidation and Short Reversal: If effectively below 88,400, switch to short with a target of 85,000 and a stop loss at 89,500.

Risks and Compliance

Monitor US stock market sentiment, ETF capital flows, and macroeconomic data disturbances; strictly adhere to stop-loss and position management. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile. The above content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.