#加密生态动态追踪 Non-farm Payrolls data is about to be released, and this time it might once again shake up the market.

December 15 News, according to analysis reports, the US non-farm employment data released this Tuesday will cover records from October and November. This release is expected to provide market participants and policymakers with a clearer picture of the US labor market. There was significant disagreement at the previous Federal Reserve meeting, with officials fiercely debating whether to prioritize controlling inflation or supporting the employment market. Ultimately, the Fed kept interest rates at their lowest level in three years.

Citigroup's economists recently provided their assessment: this non-farm report may continue to send conflicting signals. Their forecast is that—October employment might decrease by about 45,000 jobs month-over-month, but November could rebound with an increase of 80,000. Sounds good, right? But Citi's analysts are not so sure. They believe this rebound mainly results from seasonal adjustment data revisions, rather than a genuine improvement in labor demand. In other words, it could be a statistical adjustment-induced false prosperity.

Even more interesting is the unemployment rate. Citi predicts it will rise from 4.4% to 4.52%, but a Reuters survey of economists shows the unemployment rate at 4.4%. The Federal Reserve's own quarterly forecast suggests a median unemployment rate of around 4.5% by year-end. The conflicting data is quite obvious.

For assets like $BTC, $ETH , and $BNB , Federal Reserve policies and employment data are important indicators. Uncertainty in macro expectations often directly impacts the trend of risk assets. How the data performs in the coming days is worth continuous observation.