12.15 Evening Forecast and Analysis



From the current candlestick chart, BTC has shown a pattern of probing lows followed by rebounds and high-level oscillations during the day. After the low was tested at 87504.3, it rebounded strongly to the intraday high of 89972.4. The current quote is 89732.3, maintaining a predominantly bullish high-level oscillation pattern. Coupled with liquidity changes after the US stock market opens, evening volatility may further increase.
Resistance levels: 89972 (intraday high, short-term strong resistance)
90200 (psychological threshold + rebound trend extension)
90500 (phase target of this rebound)
Support levels: 89500 (immediate support after intraday surge)
89000 (consolidation platform during rebound)
88500 (key watershed for bullish trend)

If US tech stocks and the NASDAQ rise simultaneously, and BTC stabilizes above 89700, it will quickly test the 89972 resistance level. After breaking through, it may head straight for the 90200-90500 range. With sustained volume, it could reach 91000-915000;
If the 89972 resistance is pressured, the price will fluctuate widely between 89500-89972, digesting the intraday gains before choosing a direction. The oscillation may be accompanied by rapid upward or downward shakeouts;
If US stocks weaken and drag down market sentiment, and BTC loses support at 89500, it will short-term retrace to the 89000-88500 range.

Trading Suggestions:
- During a pullback to the 89500-89300 range, build long positions in batches, with stop-loss below 88500. The first target is 89972-90200, and the second target is 90500.
- If it directly breaks through 89972, pursue longs with a light position, with stop-loss below 89800, targeting 90200-90500.

- During a rebound to the 90200-90400 range, try short positions lightly, with stop-loss above 90600. The first target is 90000-89500, and the second target is 89500-89000.
- If it unexpectedly falls below 89000, pursue shorts lightly, with stop-loss above 89200, targeting 88500-87500.
#BTC行情分析 #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预测
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