2025-12-15 11:20:17

#大户持仓变化 Bitcoin falls below $88,000, and over 110,000 investors lose a total of $270 million in one day!

On December 15th, the market delivered a shocking surprise to everyone. Bitcoin plummeted 2.48% in a single day, briefly breaking through the $88,000 support level. Don’t think only BTC was hit—ETH dropped 1.99%, SOL crashed 2.9%, XRP, DOGE, ADA took turns diving, with declines ranging from 2.35% to 3.72%. Almost no coins in the market remained alive.

The liquidation data is even more heartbreaking. According to Coinglass, the total contract liquidations across the entire network in the past 24 hours soared to $270 million, with 115,700 traders being ruthlessly liquidated. The longs suffered the most, losing $230 million in one go. Shorts weren’t spared either, with losses of about $35.2 million. The most shocking was the Ethereum contract position—$4.8542 million evaporated instantly, a scale that would be considered an epic disaster in any market situation.

What’s the root cause? The hand of the Federal Reserve. Last week, they announced a rate cut, but Powell immediately threw cold water on the market—his stance on whether to continue rate cuts in January next year was vague, repeatedly emphasizing that actions depend on economic data. As a result, CME’s FedWatch tool directly reflected the market sentiment: the probability of holding interest rates steady in January surged to 75.6%, and the chance of no rate cuts by March neared 50%. This is equivalent to pressing the pause button on all expectations for easing policies.

Institutions are also starting to tone bearish. Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets bluntly cut their target price for Bitcoin at the end of 2026 in half—from $300,000 down to $150,000. Their outlook for the end of 2025 was also halved from $200,000 to $100,000. Their logic is straightforward: the enthusiasm of large capital inflows may have peaked, and even if spot ETFs occasionally revive, it’s hard to sustain that inflated valuation.

The question now is: is this a market brainwash for the bulls, or has the next bear market signal been triggered? Some have quietly exited amid liquidations, while others are secretly bottom fishing in panic. What’s your judgment?

BTC-0,2%

ETH-0,84%

SOL-1,09%

XRP-1,91%

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Layer2Observer

· 2025-12-18 08:18

Let me take a look at this data... 115,700 people simultaneously liquidated, $270 million evaporated in one day. The underlying logic is actually quite clear—leverage traders were siphoned of liquidity. But here’s an interesting discovery: longs lost $230 million, while shorts only lost a little over $35 million. This indicates that it’s not just a simple one-sided plunge, but a collective stop-loss of high-leverage positions. Technically speaking, the 88,000 level itself is near a historical high and acts as a technical resistance. Breaking below it triggered a chain of liquidations, which is quite normal. I have some doubts about Standard Chartered’s price prediction—this new target of $150,000, assuming it’s back-calculated using the S2F model, the logical chain seems a bit forced? Further validation of their model assumptions is needed. The key point is still Powell’s stance. The 75.6% probability of no rate cut has indeed changed market expectations. From a macro liquidity perspective, this is the real variable. The current question isn’t whether it’s a shakeout or a bear market, but how exposed you are to leverage.

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CountdownToBroke

· 2025-12-15 15:55

Here we go again, this is what they call "buying and taking off," haha. Powell is really the best; cut interest rates by half, cut expectations in half, and the market is just played like that. And some people still believe in institutional target prices. 110,000 people liquidated, I wonder if I know any of them. The guy from Hefei hasn't been heard from lately.

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WinterWarmthCat

· 2025-12-15 11:44

Once again, another liquidation—this time directly 270 million? Powell is really incredible; a single sentence can crash the market.

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TokenAlchemist

· 2025-12-15 11:33

liquidation cascades hitting different when fed policy stays ambiguous lol... 270m vaporized in 24h is just inefficiency vectors being exploited, nothing new really. the real alpha play here isn't watching the rekt traders—it's decoding whether this is macro mean reversion or actual regime shift. standard deviation overreaction or structural breakdown? data'll tell us soon enough.

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AirdropHustler

· 2025-12-15 11:27

Here we go again, every time it's the same. When it drops, they say it's a shakeout; when it rises, they say it's a bull market. I'm exhausted. 2.7 billion in liquidations sounds unbelievable, but that's just how contracts are. Leverage is meant to cut people. Standard Chartered's price cut from 300,000 to 150,000 is hilarious. Listen to the institutions, don't take it seriously. Powell's move was indeed ruthless. I thought rate cuts could support the market, but then another unexpected move came. I just want to know, where is the bottom? Should I buy the dip or keep observing?

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governance_ghost

· 2025-12-15 11:24

Here we go again, Powell really knows how to pretend. Just cut rates if you're going to cut rates, don't play these ambiguous tricks.

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