#以太坊行情技术解读 Regarding $BTC $ETH Trading Insights

After long-term experience in the crypto space, I've gradually recognized some elusive patterns in market movements. These patterns aren't always foolproof, but their high frequency makes them impossible to ignore.

**Time Dimension Patterns**

If the domestic market experiences a sustained decline during the day, it often presents a buying opportunity—because around 21:30 local time, overseas funds typically participate, causing the market to rally. Conversely, if there's a sharp surge during the day, don't celebrate too early; a pullback is likely in the evening. This isn't coincidence but a true reflection of capital flow patterns.

**Signal Recognition Tips**

Market pinning is an interesting phenomenon. The deeper the pin, the stronger the subsequent reversal tends to be. Long-term observation shows this signal can be quite accurate for judging buying or selling points. Usually, the market rises before good news is announced and drops after the event—showing that the market is often driven by expectations rather than reality.

**The Trap of Groupthink**

When a community unanimously promotes a coin with glowing descriptions, be alert. Thinking in reverse is often safer. Conversely, projects you’re not interested in or even skeptical about tend to be the ones that take off—this is why caution is warranted when everyone is frenzied about a coin. Highly trending coins may actually be signals of potential short-selling opportunities.

**The Harsh Reality of Position Management**

Holding heavy positions is the easiest way to get liquidated. Why? Because your holdings are clearly visible on the exchange’s system, making you vulnerable to precise targeted attacks in extreme conditions. Setting stop-loss orders might lead to further declines, while placing take-profit orders could result in sudden surges—this “being fooled” makes many feel the market is deliberately working against them. Looking at the patterns of coins like TRB can shed light on this.

When about to be forced out of a position, a rebound suddenly stalls; when about to take profit, the market unexpectedly surges. The problem isn't market volatility but the psychological and positional manipulation by participants.

**Final Awakening**

Excitement is often a trap set by market whales. When you're broke, every project seems to be soaring, and FOMO is at its peak—this is the most dangerous moment. The probability of market manipulation exceeds 80%, but that doesn’t mean you should give up trading. Instead, learn to control your positions, act with patience, and wait for the whales to reveal their weaknesses before taking action.

Trading is ultimately a battle of patience, discipline, and timing. Knowing these truths doesn't guarantee profits, but ignoring them will likely lead to losses.