Contradictory? Only for those who look at the data and ignore the context. The market didn't fall because of a cut. It fell because the cut was accompanied by a speech that kept real interest rates high for longer. 📌 What really mattered: ✅ The 25 bps cut was already priced in ✅ The Fed made it clear that there is no rush for new cuts ✅ Real interest rates remain positive ✅ Risk appetite continues to be limited In other words: the market received relief but not confirmation of a liquidity cycle. And when real interest rates stay high, risk assets suffer — especially crypto, which reacts more to the Fed's tone than to the isolated decision. This explains why: ▶️BTC gave back part of the move ▶️Altcoins performed worse ▶️Volatility returned quickly 👉 I analyzed this scenario in more depth in the article from 12/11/2025, breaking down why the speech mattered more than the cut and what to watch for moving forward. $BTC $ETH $USDC Link to the article: https://www.gate.com/post/status/16753347?ref=VLJDUAXCUQ&ref_type=105
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The Fed cut interest rates… and Bitcoin fell.
Contradictory? Only for those who look at the data and ignore the context.
The market didn't fall because of a cut.
It fell because the cut was accompanied by a speech that kept real interest rates high for longer.
📌 What really mattered:
✅ The 25 bps cut was already priced in
✅ The Fed made it clear that there is no rush for new cuts
✅ Real interest rates remain positive
✅ Risk appetite continues to be limited
In other words:
the market received relief but not confirmation of a liquidity cycle.
And when real interest rates stay high, risk assets suffer — especially crypto, which reacts more to the Fed's tone than to the isolated decision.
This explains why:
▶️BTC gave back part of the move
▶️Altcoins performed worse
▶️Volatility returned quickly
👉 I analyzed this scenario in more depth in the article from 12/11/2025, breaking down why the speech mattered more than the cut and what to watch for moving forward.
$BTC $ETH $USDC
Link to the article: https://www.gate.com/post/status/16753347?ref=VLJDUAXCUQ&ref_type=105