Treat the crypto market as a probabilistic game, and this is how I survive.

Many people enter the market and guess the ups and downs every day, holding onto K-line charts without letting go. In the end, they either give back profits or get liquidated directly.

I do things completely differently: I don't rely on guessing market trends, I only play the probabilities. Back in 2017, I tested the waters with $5,000. Over the years, my account steadily grew, and I was able to keep drawdowns under control — not because of luck, but because of rules.

**The first key: Lock in your profits first**

For each trade, I set both take profit and stop loss simultaneously. As soon as profits reach 10% of the principal, I take half out immediately. The remaining profits continue to be used.

When the market is favorable, I compound gains; when it moves against me, I only lose the profits, keeping the principal safe. This trick directly solves the curse of “making money but unable to hold onto it.”

**The second key: Use the big cycle to determine direction, find opportunities in the small cycle**

Observe the big cycle to confirm the trend, then enter and exit precisely in the small cycle. Once the trend is established, wait for the most suitable entry point. Sometimes, for the same asset, I plan in two ways—both long and short—with protective measures.

Risk control for each trade is strict. For those caught in oscillating markets, I just wait there, waiting for the market to give an answer.

**The third key: Stop loss is not a loss, it’s a tuition fee**

I can accept a low win rate, but I must pursue a high risk-reward ratio. I am very disciplined when losing money, and when making profits, I let the gains run fully. Over the long term, the mathematical expectation is naturally positive, and account growth becomes inevitable.

Stick to these three disciplines: diversify funds, don’t increase position sizes; stop trading after consecutive losses; withdraw part of the profits when doubling the account to defend.

Remember this: the market doesn’t care how many times you fail, only whether you lose all your principal at once. Treat trading as a probabilistic game, and ultimately, trading works for you.