2025-12-15 21:20:37

Seeing an interesting Bitcoin holding case. The holder has 25 BTC contracts, and without adding margin, the liquidation price is set around 75,000—this in itself isn't particularly aggressive, but a quick look at his recent profit curve reveals some clues.

Based on the current trend, the 17th could be a turning point. If the price really drops, the 17th and 18th might be quite tough. I roughly calculated some key price levels: if the close tonight at 11 PM is around 86,060, the subsequent movement could reach the 77,000 range, with a rebound amplitude of about 1,200.

The most interesting part is that, from the changes in the profit curve, he is very likely to add to his position. Otherwise, the cost curve wouldn't show such fluctuations—this means that if the market continues to decline later, the pressure will be even greater.

BTC0.75%

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SneakyFlashloan

· 8h ago

This guy really can't hold back anymore and keeps throwing money in. --- Playing with 25 contracts like this, you'll eat wheat sooner or later. --- Adding to your position? Bro, that's gambler's mentality. --- See you at 77,000, then you'll know who's actually swimming naked. --- I've heard the theory of holding at 86,060 too many times; the market just loves to slap you in the face. --- Just a 1200-point rebound as a stop-loss? Nice try. --- The most outrageous thing is he might even want to add more, which is like going against the heavens. --- Not being aggressive at a liquidation price of 75,000? Your definition is really lenient. --- This cost curve clearly shows what's going on; a bloody lesson indeed. --- When the price dips, is the pressure heavy? That's light; it's only a big problem when liquidation happens. --- Your prediction of the turning point on the 17th is quite accurate, marking it first.

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0xSunnyDay

· 14h ago

This guy really wants to play with fire, risking liquidation with just 25 coins. Didn't I say 25 coins would be risky enough? Now he's throwing more in. The liquidation price at 75,000, who knows when a sudden drop might happen. That level at 86,060 seems shaky; there's a pretty good chance it'll drop back to 77,000. Reminds me of the margin call two months ago, which ended up with everything gone—couldn't hold on anymore.

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GovernancePretender

· 12-15 22:30

25 contracts without insurance and still dare to eat, this guy's guts are really big Add to position? If the market drops another wave, he'll have to buy the dip and drink northwest wind If that 77,000 level really breaks, the liquidation list will be ready to line up

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mev_me_maybe

· 12-15 21:50

This guy is probably about to get exposed. Adding to the position is a gamble on a turnaround. Not just him, we're all betting on the 17th. Can 77,000 hold? I think it's uncertain.

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RegenRestorer

· 12-15 21:50

This guy is really brave, daring to go裸奔 with 25 contracts. Let's wait and see the performance on the 17th. The trick of追仓 feels like gambling with the market. Can 77,000 hold? I think it's uncertain. Setting the liquidation price like that, probably aiming for a full send. The fluctuations in the cost curve, typical of buying more as it drops, is a gambler's mentality. If 86,060 really crashes down, this guy will have a tough time. 25 contracts, this leverage play is really exciting but also very dangerous.

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SleepTrader

· 12-15 21:39

25x leverage players, their hearts must be very strong --- I've seen many tricks of chasing positions, and they all end the same way --- That point at 86060 was nailed down tightly, just waiting to see how the 17th plays out --- Fluctuations around the cost line are hard for ordinary people to notice; your analysis is outstanding --- Is it not aggressive enough to get liquidated at 75,000? I think sooner or later, it will have to be tested --- If this guy really chased the position, there will be a good show once it falls below 77,000 --- That rebound at 1200 is probably a good opportunity to cut losses --- The profit curve doesn't lie; I understand the idea of adding positions, but it feels a bit like gambling

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LidoStakeAddict

· 12-15 21:34

25 contracts, this guy is really going all in --- Adding to the position? He's betting it won't drop tomorrow, so exciting --- 77000 feels like it's about to break through, if it happens on the 17th, it'll be really tough --- The cost curve has been unpredictable, is he leveraging up to rescue the situation? --- This technique looks familiar, it's that kind of stubborn hold strategy --- The 11 o'clock closing position is crucial, feels like it's teetering around 86060 --- Bro, you're really battling the market, I bet he can't hold up --- Adding to the position actually increases the risk, this logic is a bit frightening --- If 77000 really drops, the rebound would only be about 1200 points? That's a bit fragile --- The fluctuations in this profit curve alone make you feel like the account is "breathing"

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MetaNomad

· 12-15 21:20

Adding to the position is really a genius move; the strategy of buying more as it drops is destined to end in a certain way.

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