2025-12-16 02:22:15

Last night to today, Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced another round of sharp declines. BTC broke through key support levels, and ETH also followed downward. The comment section is filled with cries of despair—how much further will it fall? Is this the end of the bull market?

Honestly, I’ve seen too many scenes like this. Every big drop is met with someone shouting "This time is really different," only to be proven wrong again and again.

It all depends on how history unfolds.

In 2018, during that wave, BTC dropped from $20,000 to around $3,000. How many self-media outlets declared "Bitcoin is dead" at that time? Countless. But what happened next? In 2020 and 2021, BTC soared straight to $70,000.

2022 was even harsher. BTC fell back to $16,000, and ETH briefly dropped below the $1,000 mark. The mentality in the crypto circle back then, I think, is beyond words. FTX collapsed, Luna went to zero, aftershocks kept coming—truly a bear market to an unimaginable extent.

Then 2023 arrived, and BTC ETF was approved. By 2024, the halving cycle started, and BTC surged past the $100,000 all-time high. ETH also rebounded to over $4,000.

Now it’s December 2025. The recent correction we’ve experienced is just a normal retracement after the 2024 halving.

The crypto market has this personality—high volatility is in its DNA. But after each seemingly deadly plunge, there’s always a more vigorous rebound. This isn’t the first time, and it definitely won’t be the last.

The real pattern is this: the second year after the halving is when the main bull run is the most ferocious. We’re still a long way from that.

BTC1.54%

ETH-0.13%

LUNA-4.16%

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MEV_Whisperer

· 6h ago

Coming with this again? Every time you say this time is different, but it turns out to be the same. I still remember the 2018 wave; looking back now, it's all a joke. The real show starts after the halving, so what's the rush? I was also in tears during the FTX period, but now everything has turned around. History will repeat itself; don't be driven by panic emotions. This wave of decline is just normal breathing, nothing to worry about. Just look at the gains in 2020-2021, it's still too early now.

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0xDreamChaser

· 21h ago

Here comes the same old "history must repeat itself" rhetoric, hearing it until my ears are calloused. Watching K-line charts every day is less useful than checking how much principal you still have left. If you made it through 2018, there's no guarantee you'll make it through 2022. Whether this time is really different or not, at least my wallet has already taken a hit. Halving cycle? Just listen, the real talk comes from cold, hard cash. By the way, why are you so confident about this wave of decline? Are you bottom-fishing happily or have you run out of cash? History indeed repeats itself, but your funds won’t come back. It's always "still far away," but the most important thing when it's still far away is to survive first.

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ProofOfNothing

· 21h ago

Ha, it's the same story again. We said this in 2018 too. --- History will repeat itself, but never exactly the same. Those who believe make money, those who don't believe also make money, but in the end, everyone loses money. --- Is the second year after the halving the main upward wave? Bro, your prediction is way too out there. --- Every time, they say a normal pullback, but the pullback goes all the way to the core of the Earth, which is really a bit crazy. --- Heard too many times about rebounds, now I just want to see how high it can go. --- I believed in Luna going to zero once, but now I’m a bit hesitant. --- The slap in the face was loud and clear. Can we not be so loud this time? --- When ETF was approved, I said this was the start of the bottom, but now I regret not buying more. --- Volatility being in the genes is real, but genes can sometimes mutate, who can say for sure. --- Let’s see how low it can really go. Watching a bunch of people wail actually feels pretty good. --- Heard the halving cycle theory a hundred times, but few can really grasp it.

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MainnetDelayedAgain

· 21h ago

According to the database, it has been 7 years since the self-media declaration of "Bitcoin is dead" in 2018, and the project promoters' hype is still fermenting. It has only been a few months since the last cry of "This time it's really different," which should be added to the Guinness delay record. Wait, I think I'm waiting for something again... Oh right, the main bull run. In 2026. It will eventually come true. Anyway, the history has already been written. Let's just wait for the flowers to bloom, just like we waited for ETFs, halving, and rebounds over the years. It has been since the actual mode launch—let's do the math, it's December 2025 now, so we are waiting for the whole of 2026. Feel free to add data and see who else’s delay notices can surpass mine.

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ContractBugHunter

· 21h ago

You're repeating the same old lines from 2018 again, but I admit I get tricked every time haha This time is really different (dog head emoji) Hold your position firmly, wait for the main rally in 2026, I’ve already seen through the tricks anyway But then again, those who are cutting their losses now will probably regret it again by this time next year

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