If the Fed Chair candidate leans hawkish, crypto assets face a policy turning point

Recently, the political winds in Washington are worth paying attention to. Treasury officials have leaked that Trump will continue interviewing Federal Reserve candidates this week, and based on feedback from the interviews, he seems to prefer candidates who are straightforward in their policy statements and proactive in their actions.

This signal should not be underestimated. The choice of the Fed Chair directly determines the direction of U.S. monetary policy—interest rate adjustments, liquidity injections, every step influences global capital markets. Trump is known for decisive decision-making; if he indeed selects a leader with a similar style and clear stance, the U.S. economic policy is likely to shift significantly.

For the crypto market, this could be a critical turning point. Tightening dollar policy means liquidity contraction, while loosening could open a window for funds to seek alternative assets. Assets like $BTC, $ETH, #美联储降息 are highly correlated with macro liquidity—one Fed decision can cause global capital reallocation. In the short term, market volatility may increase, but in the long run, policy uncertainty often contains opportunities.

The current strategy is to stay alert while understanding the trend. Don’t be fooled by short-term fluctuations; instead, grasp the underlying policy logic. Any institutional change is an opportunity to reallocate assets, and the key is how to respond. The policy signals in the coming months will directly influence the market pattern for the second half of the year and even into next year.