2025-12-16 13:31:16

#大户持仓变化 Gold Market Review and Pre-Non-Farm Operations Guide

Yesterday early morning, I entered long at 4285, and smoothly took profits at 4310 all the way up. This morning, a reverse operation also earned a wave. But now the real test is here—how to navigate the Non-Farm Payrolls data?

Looking back at yesterday’s trend, gold fell sharply from a high and then rebounded with weakness. The 4300 level, a key integer mark, remained unbroken. During the Asian and European sessions, consolidation consumed time. Short-term traders should be aware: around Non-Farm Payrolls, sharp volatility is common, even fake breakouts like "drawing gates."

On the technical side, the daily chart shows signs of increased volume in the bearish candles, and the RSI indicator has started turning down from high levels. The current strategy is: before the Non-Farm data, consider shorting around 4300-4305, with a short-term target of 4270. For ultra-short-term trading, set stop-losses properly and avoid greed.

The critical moment is here—what to do after the Non-Farm data releases? If the data favors the dollar, follow the trend and short with a target of 4260. Conversely, if the data is unfavorable for the dollar, and if the price breaks above 4305, actively avoid short positions and wait for opportunities around the 4315 resistance level. In short, this Non-Farm report is a watershed; risk control is the most important.

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RektRecovery

· 12-19 04:08

ngl this is textbook "i made some wins so now i'm a fortune teller" energy... non-farm always fakes people out, seen this movie too many times. the 4300 level holding like that? classic trap setup imo

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ser_we_are_ngmi

· 12-16 14:04

Non-farm payrolls are really tough; it feels like every time it's either a big profit or a liquidation, with no third outcome in between. Speaking of the 4300 level, it's indeed stubborn; only after repeated confirmation can I be convinced. Controlling risk is well said, but when the market is in front of you, who doesn't want to go all-in, haha. Let's wait for the data; anyway, no matter what you do, there's a chance of losing. It all depends on luck and which side it favors. That 4260 space feels too deep; most likely, you'll need to cut losses before a rebound. Yesterday's 4285 order was lucky, and today’s move ate it again? I always feel like before non-farm payrolls, the market is just draining mental stamina. Stop-loss is easy to talk about but bloodily costly to execute, especially when you're just about to break even...

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