#大户持仓动态 BTC 1-Hour Technical Outlook Lights Up: Bearish Signals Emerge, High-Range Volatility Requires Caution

Recently reviewed BTC's recent 1-hour movement, and the chart data indeed reveals some less optimistic signals—feeling that the bulls' strength is gradually waning.

From technical indicators, the situation is as follows:

Bollinger Bands (BOLL 20,2) are widening, with the midline at 87182 stuck at a critical resistance level. The price oscillates around the midline but lacks the momentum to break upward, clearly showing weakness.

The MACD is more concerning—death cross signals have formed, with the green histogram expanding (DIF value -151.7, DEA value -78.2), indicating that downward momentum is accelerating. There is significant downward pressure in the short term.

Looking at the candlestick itself, although there was a slight rise at close (up 0.31% to 86857), the range of fluctuation is only 0.4%. Such low-amplitude small increases often indicate false breakouts and can easily trap late buyers.

On-chain data shows that large holders are mostly holding steady, with no significant movement—large funds are clearly observing with a wait-and-see attitude, which precisely indicates they are waiting for clearer directional signals. Once retail investors panic and start to sell off, a chain reaction could occur.

Currently, there are no obvious positive or negative news, and the market is entirely driven by technical factors. This vacuum often signals underlying turbulence, with risks potentially surfacing at any time.

Based on the above analysis, BTC is likely to continue its short-term sideways weakness. If the key support at the midline 87182 cannot hold, the next possible test level is the lower Bollinger band at 86225. However, it’s important to emphasize that a sharp decline may not necessarily be a bad thing—each panic often harbors opportunities for bottom-fishing.

Trading advice: Light-position investors should continue to observe, while those with heavy positions might consider reducing holdings on rallies. The key signals are when on-chain data shows anomalies or when MACD forms a golden cross—that’s when real opportunities arise. In this volatile environment, the most important thing is to avoid getting trapped; wait for a confirmed trend before making large moves.