XRP Signals Accumulation Strength as Chain Flows Turn Sharply Bullish

The on-chain picture for XRP has shifted dramatically over the past week. Starting November 19, exchange net positions swung deeply negative, with token outflows climbing from –59.32M to –650.45M in just eight days—a staggering 1000 percent surge. This aggressive movement within a tight price range typically reveals significant accumulation by institutional and large-scale buyers, signaling confidence despite surface-level price hesitation.

Volume and Momentum Back the Recovery Narrative

XRP’s advance since November 21 has been accompanied by a crucial shift in volume dynamics. The OBV indicator finally broke above its descending trendline for the first time since November 10, marking the first real confirmation that buying pressure is entering the market. Momentum traders are watching for OBV to post a higher high beyond 6.64B, which would seal the technical reversal story.

This volume surge carries extra weight because it occurred even as the 100-day EMA crossed below the 200-day EMA—a bearish signal that historically precedes sharp reversals. The fact that XRP held firm above $2.14 support despite this crossover demonstrates that sellers lack conviction. Such resilience in the face of a bearish technical signal often marks the beginning stages of a trend reversal.

The Wedge Structure Sets Up a Critical Breakout

Price remains trapped inside a falling wedge formation, a bullish setup that resolves higher once buyers regain control. The $2.14 level has defended every sell attempt since November 25, acting as a floor. However, the real key lies overhead at $2.28—a barrier that has rejected breakout attempts repeatedly since November 17.

A decisive close above $2.28 would clear the path toward $2.55 and potentially unlock a full trend reversal. If that fails to hold, the next support zone sits at $2.02. But combining the technical setup with on-chain evidence, the probability of upside continuation appears weighted in favor of bulls.

What’s Next for XRP

The convergence of three factors—climbing exchange outflows, strengthening OBV momentum, and a bullish wedge structure—creates a compelling case for near-term appreciation. The market is now watching to see if XRP can break cleanly above $2.28 on solid volume. If that resistance yields, the next leg higher becomes inevitable.

Current price data shows XRP trading at $1.88 with a 24-hour change of +0.37%, underpinning the cautious optimism that accumulation is underway below resistance.