2025-12-19 00:20:14

#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Trading logic is that simple

December 19, 2025

My own set of operational frameworks has finally stabilized.

The approach in this cycle is very clear in crypto assets — focus on projects with solid fundamentals that have fallen near the annual moving average.

For example, some top coins, when their prices retrace to the annual line, are entry points; when they rise significantly above the annual line, it’s time to reduce positions. The benefit of this strategy is avoiding a large wave of crashes.

Every cycle inevitably clears out many projects. Some disappear completely, some barely hang on, but the final outcome is actually predetermined.

This is how traders operate as well. Most people cannot endure more than one or two bull-bear cycles. Those who cannot keep up with market rhythm or adapt to cyclical fluctuations will eventually be forced out. This is not prophecy, but the natural law of market operation.

The opportunity to make money always belongs to the minority.

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CryptoSourGrape

· 12-19 00:50

If only I had realized this framework earlier... Now I understand that the yearly line is truly sexy --- It sounds simple, but how many people really get it right? I belong to the group that got pushed out --- So, most people are just陪跑, just thinking about it makes me feel sour --- The yearly line for building positions, why does it sound easy but actually so damn hard to implement? --- Few people make money? I’m the one who got cleared out of the project hahaha

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 12-19 00:47

The logic of lining up with the yearly moving average has been my play for a long time, let's see who can hold out until the end. --- It's the same story again; as long as it's not our turn to be cleared out, that's fine. --- Most people who get kicked out deserve it; trading without discipline is just asking for trouble. --- The framework is stable, yeah right, let's talk about it next year. --- Easy to say, wait until the real crash happens before bragging. --- Only this kind of writing that sounds like a motto, but the account balance is only five figures. --- Being near the yearly moving average does present opportunities, but it's also easy to get broken through; you didn't mention stop-loss. --- Wow, once again summarizing "patterns"; this time the argument is the same as the last cycle.

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AirdropSkeptic

· 12-19 00:41

Annual line trading: reducing and increasing positions? Sounds simple, but in practice, my fingers are trembling. That's right, if you can't endure one or two cycles, you'll be eliminated. I'm the kind of person who almost got pushed out. A stable framework is a good thing, but I'm just worried the market might give you an unexpected surprise. The most revealing time is during the clearing out. Those projects still struggling to survive should have died long ago. I also use the annual line as a reference point, but I always feel like I can't quite time it right. I'm just glad to have survived until now. Don't expect to make money from the "few people."

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BearMarketMonk

· 12-19 00:39

The logic of the yearly line sounds good, but how many people can actually hold on until the moment of reducing their positions? Most people have already cut their losses in panic.

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AirdropHunterKing

· 12-19 00:29

Building positions near the yearly line? Bro, I feel like your framework is still gambling. The saying that only a few make money is true, but I really haven't seen many who have truly avoided the crash.

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