#大户持仓动态 Has Bitcoin's four-year cycle really come to an end?
This question has been quite popular in the community recently. Many seasoned players are re-examining historical data, trying to find patterns. One idea worth considering is that the previous peak was quite precise, but what followed was often not a continued surge, but a market that needed to take a breather.
Looking at the performance of several complete past cycles, this current correction phase might take longer to digest. Some analysts are even hinting at whether a "consolidation period" will emerge after entering next year. From a technical perspective, the market is likely to repeatedly confirm certain key support zones.
Right now, major coins like $ETH, $BNB, and $ZEC are testing their respective support levels. The real question for investors is: when the correction persists, what is your strategy? Are you gradually building positions during the pullback, or temporarily waiting on the sidelines for clearer signals?
How this cycle unfolds ultimately depends on the market's genuine reactions.
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OnChainDetective
· 13h ago
nah this "4yr cycle" narrative is just pattern-seeking theater... lemme check the actual wallet clustering data real quick before anyone else spins this into gospel truth
Reply0
DegenMcsleepless
· 13h ago
Four-year cycle? Ha, you're starting to tell stories again. Historical data is very useful.
Accumulation phase? What's the point of accumulating? I just want to know when it can surge. Stop dragging your feet.
Repeatedly confirming support levels? Basically, it means you don't know where it's headed... Everyone's just gambling.
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WalletDetective
· 13h ago
The cycle theory is getting boring; it's better to just look at the flow of big wallet addresses for more concrete information.
Rallying high then taking a breather? Uh, I only see continuous leek-cutting.
Still building positions or waiting on the sidelines? Honestly, it's just gambling. Who can be sure?
Gaining momentum next year? Friend, your prediction is way too optimistic.
Repeatedly confirming the support level just means it's constantly breaking, haha.
$ETH this time really feels fierce, can't push up.
The four-year cycle is completely a post-hoc rationalization; who predicted it correctly back then?
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeSobber
· 13h ago
The cycle theory is back again, belonging to the repeated "Wolf is coming"...
However, the repeated confirmation of the support level this time is indeed interesting. Compared to the wild growth of last year, the market is indeed much more mature now.
#大户持仓动态 Has Bitcoin's four-year cycle really come to an end?
This question has been quite popular in the community recently. Many seasoned players are re-examining historical data, trying to find patterns. One idea worth considering is that the previous peak was quite precise, but what followed was often not a continued surge, but a market that needed to take a breather.
Looking at the performance of several complete past cycles, this current correction phase might take longer to digest. Some analysts are even hinting at whether a "consolidation period" will emerge after entering next year. From a technical perspective, the market is likely to repeatedly confirm certain key support zones.
Right now, major coins like $ETH, $BNB, and $ZEC are testing their respective support levels. The real question for investors is: when the correction persists, what is your strategy? Are you gradually building positions during the pullback, or temporarily waiting on the sidelines for clearer signals?
How this cycle unfolds ultimately depends on the market's genuine reactions.