Retail investors see a long wick candle and shout to exit the market, but on-chain data tells a completely different story – large investors are quietly accumulating at low levels.
The market last night scared quite a few people. Bitcoin repeatedly had long wick candles within a few hours, and comments on Weibo were all about "liquidation" and "it's over". But looking closely at the market chart reveals a pattern: each time a long wick candle occurred, it was precisely in the range of $86200 to $86500. Once or twice could be a coincidence, but so many times clearly indicates that someone is at work.
**Market sentiment vs actual operations, the gap is absurdly large**
The most striking phenomenon today is not how the price itself fluctuates, but rather the huge contrast in emotions and behaviors. The frequency of panic remarks on social media is as high as 40%, and the pessimistic sentiment among retail investors has reached a cyclical peak. However, this extreme pessimism usually does not appear at the top; instead, it is a characteristic signal of the bottom.
When most retail investors are cutting losses and fleeing, the operations of whale accounts follow a completely different logic. Glassnode's on-chain data shows that large investors holding between 1 and 1000 bitcoins are continuously accumulating. Interestingly, the whales that had been aggressively offloading coins have also slowed down their pace recently, indicating that even though the market is very noisy, the real smart money is quietly changing direction.
**Data speaks**
The behavior of Long Wick Candle is driven by large investors repeatedly testing support while using the panic psychology of retail investors to collect cheap tokens. If you are feeling anxious right now, there is an eight or nine out of ten chance that you are stuck in a position. Conversely, this extreme emotion itself is a signal—market bottoms often look like this.
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just_another_wallet
· 12-22 18:49
Are they talking about Large Investors accumulating positions again? The key is that retail investors have no chips at all, they have long since run away.
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The 86200 range is really too obvious, either someone is working or it's just a coincidence piling up, pick one.
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When the panic is at its highest, it often really is an opportunity, but the problem is how many retail investors can hold on until that moment.
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No matter how good the on-chain data is, you still need the capital, Large Investors have their funds right there, and we need to save up for ages.
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To put it bluntly, it's a mindset game; whoever can stay calm in the most desperate moments wins. But I definitely can't do that.
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I don't know why I didn't notice that the Whale slowed down the pace, on the contrary, I feel like the dumping intensity has been quite fierce recently.
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This kind of analysis is talked about in every market cycle, yet those who should Get Liquidated still get Liquidated.
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Please, stop advising me to buy the dip, I almost hit the ground last time I listened to advice.
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If it's a long wick candle, then so be it. I've long been numb to it, no matter how much it falls, I have no money to catch.
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I remember saying this a while back as well, and in the end, it turned out the same.
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LiquidationWatcher
· 12-22 18:37
It's this trap again, every time it's so precise with the long wick candle, it's obvious that they're washing retail investors.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidationWatcher
· 12-22 18:37
ngl the panic in those twitter threads hits different when you're watching whales quietly stack at 86.2k... been there, lost that back in 2022, so yeah this gets to me every time lol
Reply0
CrashHotline
· 12-22 18:32
It's the same old story again, Large Investors eat chips while small investors Cut Loss, I'm tired of hearing it.
Retail investors see a long wick candle and shout to exit the market, but on-chain data tells a completely different story – large investors are quietly accumulating at low levels.
The market last night scared quite a few people. Bitcoin repeatedly had long wick candles within a few hours, and comments on Weibo were all about "liquidation" and "it's over". But looking closely at the market chart reveals a pattern: each time a long wick candle occurred, it was precisely in the range of $86200 to $86500. Once or twice could be a coincidence, but so many times clearly indicates that someone is at work.
**Market sentiment vs actual operations, the gap is absurdly large**
The most striking phenomenon today is not how the price itself fluctuates, but rather the huge contrast in emotions and behaviors. The frequency of panic remarks on social media is as high as 40%, and the pessimistic sentiment among retail investors has reached a cyclical peak. However, this extreme pessimism usually does not appear at the top; instead, it is a characteristic signal of the bottom.
When most retail investors are cutting losses and fleeing, the operations of whale accounts follow a completely different logic. Glassnode's on-chain data shows that large investors holding between 1 and 1000 bitcoins are continuously accumulating. Interestingly, the whales that had been aggressively offloading coins have also slowed down their pace recently, indicating that even though the market is very noisy, the real smart money is quietly changing direction.
**Data speaks**
The behavior of Long Wick Candle is driven by large investors repeatedly testing support while using the panic psychology of retail investors to collect cheap tokens. If you are feeling anxious right now, there is an eight or nine out of ten chance that you are stuck in a position. Conversely, this extreme emotion itself is a signal—market bottoms often look like this.