High selling pressure, low fluctuation, unfavourable information fully released, macro turning point!
The current trend is gradually visible to everyone, indicating that the next six months will be good times, which is a macro judgment about policies. The statement that the short-term market is about to reverse and one should try to take action is not only because we are bullish, but also supported by some data. First, the leverage ratio is low. A few days ago, the leverage ratio for the cake was reduced to its lowest point since May of this year. A low leverage represents the health of the market. The volume of long positions is also gradually accumulating. Second, with money entering the market, the stable market capitalization percentage is increasing, and we are starting to see an increase in oil issuance. Third, in a low fluctuation spring state, the iv value is at a low level. Last month also experienced one of the most severe sell-offs by long-term holders in five years, and after going through the last two important macro perspective data, the market will reach this mean-reversion state. A large number of options will expire on the 26th, leading to another fluctuation. In summary, high selling pressure, low iv, macro turning point. Fourth, the lighthouse shows the way. After experiencing over 200 liquidation events since 1011, the market has also reached a state of calm. This also indirectly indicates that the two months following 1011 have been a phase of significant fluctuations and repeated changes, making it difficult for both bulls and bears. The struggle has been ongoing. The current position is the extreme point of fluctuation reversal, so just wait.
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High selling pressure, low fluctuation, unfavourable information fully released, macro turning point!
The current trend is gradually visible to everyone, indicating that the next six months will be good times, which is a macro judgment about policies.
The statement that the short-term market is about to reverse and one should try to take action is not only because we are bullish, but also supported by some data.
First, the leverage ratio is low. A few days ago, the leverage ratio for the cake was reduced to its lowest point since May of this year. A low leverage represents the health of the market. The volume of long positions is also gradually accumulating.
Second, with money entering the market, the stable market capitalization percentage is increasing, and we are starting to see an increase in oil issuance.
Third, in a low fluctuation spring state, the iv value is at a low level. Last month also experienced one of the most severe sell-offs by long-term holders in five years, and after going through the last two important macro perspective data, the market will reach this mean-reversion state. A large number of options will expire on the 26th, leading to another fluctuation.
In summary, high selling pressure, low iv, macro turning point.
Fourth, the lighthouse shows the way. After experiencing over 200 liquidation events since 1011, the market has also reached a state of calm. This also indirectly indicates that the two months following 1011 have been a phase of significant fluctuations and repeated changes, making it difficult for both bulls and bears. The struggle has been ongoing.
The current position is the extreme point of fluctuation reversal, so just wait.