2025-12-23 16:24:01

Which index should we focus on tomorrow? Although the main index has been rising for several days, to be honest, there's not much to see - it might be better to shift our focus to the ChiNext.

The strategy of the ChiNext has been analyzed before: it revolves around the ten-day moving average for pullbacks. Today it has reached a short-term peak, and the ChiNext is basically set to pull back over the next few days. Pushing the entire A-share market upward from the ChiNext means that two bearish candles are needed for digestion. One has been completed today, and it is very likely that there will be another one tomorrow (a false bullish candle also counts).

But there is a problem here – judging the profit effect solely based on the performance of all A shares is basically just a guess in such a fragmented market. It needs to be complemented with the emotional aspect.

Today, once the popular sectors corrected, people's confidence scattered. Short-term funds (which we call "Little Deng" )) are inherently liquid. As long as they are willing to keep buying in waves, the profit effect can materialize. The problem is that many short-term funds have already been trapped today, with losses of more than ten points on the table. Once there is a slight rebound tomorrow, this group of people will panic and flee, which will inevitably turn into a situation of more selling leading to more selling. Therefore, we shouldn't be too optimistic about the profit effect tomorrow.

Switch to the mid-line investors (let's call them "Old Deng" ), these people are tough and resilient, able to withstand and fight. Since they can endure, let's hold on a little longer and get through this consolidation period.

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BlockchainBouncer

· 2025-12-24 13:19

The market is so fragmented that you really need to look at sentiment rather than K-line charts. --- Xiaodeng gets stopped out after losing just a few points, and the game of killing the losers will inevitably continue tomorrow. --- I'm tired of this routine on the ChiNext Board; the ten-day moving average keeps pulling back and forth, but it's still the same. --- Old investors just have to hold firm; after all, it's all about endurance. Wait until this correction phase passes. --- Don't expect to make money tomorrow; it's better to stay steady and avoid being cut. --- Looking at K-line charts for this market is pure nonsense; it's more reliable to consider the sentiment.

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FUD_Vaccinated

· 2025-12-23 16:32

Suckers should cry now, the rhythm is to run out with more than ten points. --- Only with tough skin and thick meat can one prevail, if the old suckers stabilize this wave, they will win. --- The strategy of the ChiNext is really amazing, the daily chart is pulled back and forth endlessly. --- More killing more? Just wait to watch the show tomorrow. --- Guessing the Money Effect blindly in a split market is not as reliable as observing the emotional aspect. --- With so many short-term funds trapped, they run when there's a Rebound, no wonder they always lose. --- If another Bearish line comes tomorrow, the ChiNext will be completely finished. --- When the popular zone pulls back, people's hearts scatter, this is the rhythm of playing people for suckers. --- Don't be too optimistic about the Money Effect yet, let's wait and see the emotional aspect.

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