2025-12-26 15:24:27

Some thoughts on the upcoming market trends:

Next year, the bull market pattern will continue, with a target of 200,000. However, the current long-term cycle has not yet fully retraced. According to the four-wave pattern, at least a retracement to around 0.5 is needed to be considered complete.

Friends holding short positions, pay attention—if the price rises to the 90500 level, it indicates that you may need to adjust your strategy. From 90500 downward, an expected decline of about 2000 points is likely, which is a good opportunity to exit. As long as 90599 is not broken, don’t rush to go long before 82800.

The 82800 level is very critical and is likely to be broken. The expected pullback range is between 80500 and 82500, where a relatively strong rebound will occur. The specific movement will depend on market momentum, and that will be the real opportunity for low-entry.

Although I know there will be a rebound at 86300, I chose not to go long there mainly because, within the long-term bearish structure—rebound fluctuations below 5000 points are not involved; I am waiting for a clearer opportunity.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DegenWhisperer

· Just Now

90500 this level is really holding tightly; whether it breaks or not is crucial. Waiting for the dip at 82800 to buy in, that feels like the main course. The 200,000 target is a bit aggressive, but anyway, it's next year's matter. Rebounds below 5000 points are really not meaningful; I agree with lying flat and waiting for opportunities. A large cycle correction that isn't sufficient and you want to buy more? Please stop suicidal operations, brother.

View OriginalReply0

ParanoiaKing

· 10h ago

Wait, whether 90500 breaks or not is the key. If it breaks, we need to change our approach. If it doesn't break, we'll continue to be bearish. The 82800 level isn't that simple; it feels like it will fluctuate repeatedly. A 200,000 target next year is a dream. Let's just focus on surviving first. Another bunch of numbers, I just want to know when I can get on board. There was indeed no participation at 86300. Looking back, it was wise to stay out. Is this wave of pullback really enough? I still feel it's a bit lacking. I'm still holding a short position, just waiting to see if 90500 gives an opportunity. All the numbers are correct, but I always struggle to execute properly.

View OriginalReply0

ProxyCollector

· 12-26 15:54

90500, this critical level really can't be rushed. It feels like we need to go through another round before hitting the bottom. 82800, whether it breaks or not depends on the subsequent momentum, but the 80500-82500 range is definitely worth paying attention to. 200,000 is the dream; for now, surviving is more important than anything. I also didn't act on the 86300 move; the small rebound isn't enough to watch.

View OriginalReply0

DeFiGrayling

· 12-26 15:54

90500, do we really need to break this level? It feels like we're going to fluctuate again Wait until 82800 shows a clear buy-the-dip signal, then talk about the bull market Is 200,000 a dream or a plan? Still hanging in the balance Only believe it when it breaks the level; right now, it's all just talk Can it really retrace around 0.5? I think it's uncertain

View OriginalReply0

GateUser-26d7f434

· 12-26 15:52

The range from 90500 to 82800 feels like the usual routine, let's wait and see.

View OriginalReply0

DefiPlaybook

· 12-26 15:40

According to data, the key support level setting logic in this analysis is indeed worth scrutinizing— the rebound zone of 80500-82500 after breaking 82800 aligns closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of historical pullbacks. However, a risk warning: the completion of a wave four structure is often accompanied by declining trading volume, so it is necessary to closely monitor changes in large holder positions on the chain.

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunterWang

· 12-26 15:38

90500, this key point is reliable. I also think we need to reduce positions there; a 2000-point profit should be taken. Let's wait for the rebound from 80500-82500 before making decisions. It's still early to get in now. A target of 200,000 is good, but this wave of correction needs to be fully absorbed. No rush.

View OriginalReply0