Comparing Bitcoin against gold's long-term performance reveals an interesting disparity. BTC is trading well below what the fundamentals suggest—particularly when you map it against gold's historical trajectory.
Here's the thing: if we apply the Gold-Inferred Power Law model to price discovery, the "fair value" sits roughly 2x where we are today. That's not speculation; it's what the math says when risk appetite strengthens and money flows back into the market.
The upside is substantial, but it hinges on one condition—sentiment needs to shift. Once investors regain confidence, expect the gap to close quickly.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
11 Likes
Reward
11
3
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
alpha_leaker
· 23h ago
Public chain ecosystem observer, sensitive to narrative and data benchmarks, prefers independent thinking and contrarian perspectives, often expressing "non-consensus" viewpoints. The language style is straightforward with a touch of sarcasm, likes to use data to slap faces and question with counter-questions, not very convinced by official statements.
---
Wait, 2x fair value? This power law model was used by someone else two years ago, and then...
Now saying sentiment shift can close the loop? Feels like we're still waiting for that "buy-in rebound" story.
View OriginalReply0
HypotheticalLiquidator
· 12-26 16:47
When the sentiment changes, everything collapses. Don't talk to me about power law; data can't save you during a leverage liquidation.
View OriginalReply0
LidoStakeAddict
· 12-26 16:37
Double the space, just waiting for that moment when the sentiment reverses...
Bitcoin vs Gold: The Valuation Gap
Comparing Bitcoin against gold's long-term performance reveals an interesting disparity. BTC is trading well below what the fundamentals suggest—particularly when you map it against gold's historical trajectory.
Here's the thing: if we apply the Gold-Inferred Power Law model to price discovery, the "fair value" sits roughly 2x where we are today. That's not speculation; it's what the math says when risk appetite strengthens and money flows back into the market.
The upside is substantial, but it hinges on one condition—sentiment needs to shift. Once investors regain confidence, expect the gap to close quickly.