2025-12-26 16:25:19

Recently, after the US stock market opened, Bitcoin has started to fluctuate again. I always want to see a different trend. However, looking back at historical monthly K-line charts is quite interesting—since 2020, BTC has never experienced a continuous decline of more than three months. Every time the decline extends to the third month, there is almost always a rebound the next month.

Based on this pattern, the trend for January 2026 seems to be somewhat predictable. No matter how the process unfolds, the probability of a rebound is there. Of course, historical patterns are not ironclad rules, but this cyclical behavior is worth paying attention to—after all, those who stick through the bottom are often rewarded strongly by subsequent rebounds.

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StakeOrRegret

· 19h ago

The idea of historical patterns sounds nice, but those who truly believe have probably lost money, right? --- Haven't dropped in three months? Then get ready for a reality check. I bet five bucks it will happen this year. --- Holding at the bottom? You say it easily, but I've already persisted until I became numb haha. --- A rebound in 2026? Why wait for that when a rebound could come sooner? Please, big pancake, make it happen. --- Periodic patterns, when looked back, are 100% accurate. But at the time, it was all bloodshed. --- Talking about history repeating itself again? Then why does everyone get caught every time? --- Persisting at the bottom... Indeed, I am now holding on very "deeply." --- Patterns are patterns, but my wallet doesn't follow the rules.

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RektRecorder

· 12-26 16:55

Historical patterns sound very comforting, but when it comes to actual practice, I still can't handle the mindset. --- The three-month curse sounds reliable, but I don't know if I can hold on until the rebound day. --- Persist at the bottom? Bro, are you saying you bought the dip so much that it became a package deal? --- A rebound in January 2026, provided you're still alive and holding positions now. --- This pattern sounds like giving myself a psychological shot, but forget it, I still believe in it. --- It didn't even last more than three months, and those who didn't remember lost everything, okay? --- Another story of "waiting for the rebound," always saying that, and then... --- Periodicity is indeed worth paying attention to; it all depends on whether the wallet is willing to cooperate.

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GhostInTheChain

· 12-26 16:52

Is this pattern reliable? Anyway, I don't believe it. --- Holding the bottom? Easier said than done. When it really drops, who can still hold on? --- A three-month rebound, it feels like armchair quarterbacking after the fact. --- It's both a historical pattern and a matter of probability... If that's the case, I should have already gotten rich. --- Wait, do we still have to wait until 2026? Maybe we should focus on what's happening next year first. --- The monthly K-line pattern is interesting, but I'm just worried it won't follow the usual pattern next time. --- Holding the bottom sounds easy, but when it really crashes, the mentality completely collapses. --- Patterns are patterns, but the key still depends on macro factors. --- This analysis is somewhat interesting, but I will still continue to cut losses during the volatility haha. --- Three months in a row without a decline? Check the history, I feel like I missed something.

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SignatureCollector

· 12-26 16:46

The logic is impressive, but I always feel like someone is talking about patterns every time. The idea of a three-month rebound has been heard too many times. When it really comes down to the critical moment, we still have to look at the macro. People who bottomed out and bought indeed made money, but I really want to know who can accurately judge where the bottom is. January 2026? Ha, talking about something so far ahead now. Let's just focus on getting through this month first. The monthly K-cycle pattern is pretty good, but history has always been about giving hope first and then delivering a blow. Believe it or not, I’ll just keep dollar-cost averaging and investing steadily, too lazy to guess the bottom.

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ser_we_are_ngmi

· 12-26 16:45

Bottom-fishing at the bottom has been said too many times. Every time, it's about rewards. But what happens then? Basically, it's gambling on probabilities. Maybe next time, you'll be the exception. Historical patterns are worthless when something really goes wrong.

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WagmiWarrior

· 12-26 16:39

Sticking to the bottom is really the ultimate test of mentality; frankly, it's about seeing who can hold on. Historical patterns are useful when they are, but don't be too superstitious; after all, the market always loves to create unexpected situations. The three-month rebound cycle is indeed interesting, but 2026 is still so far away, so talking about it now is a bit premature. Monthly K-lines are definitely more reliable than daily K-lines. Those holding long-term should still be pretty calm right now. Will it rebound after a three-month decline? Sure, then I'll just wait to be "rewarded" handsomely. This kind of pattern looks nice, but how many can really hold the bottom? Most are catching the bottom halfway up the mountain. But on the other hand, the fact that the rebound probability is there is quite realistic. It's been so volatile for so long, I'm just tired now. I'll just continue to lie flat and call it a day.

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