Prediction Markets: What Has Changed Is Not Just Accuracy… But Also Volume and Impact
Cumulative Volume: $14.12 trillion
Participation and Liquidity Accelerate via Kalshi and Polymarket
Prediction errors are 40% lower compared to consensus Outperformance rises to 67% during high volatility periods
Why is this important?
The larger the volume, the faster prices absorb information with less noise. Thus, prediction markets shift from a side idea to an instant forecast layer — often ahead of polls and models.
When uncertainty rises… Watch where the money 👀 flows Probability markets have become an advanced macro indicator, not a marginal one... $BTC
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Prediction Markets: What Has Changed Is Not Just Accuracy… But Also Volume and Impact
Cumulative Volume: $14.12 trillion
Participation and Liquidity Accelerate via Kalshi and Polymarket
Prediction errors are 40% lower compared to consensus
Outperformance rises to 67% during high volatility periods
Why is this important?
The larger the volume, the faster prices absorb information with less noise.
Thus, prediction markets shift from a side idea to an instant forecast layer — often ahead of polls and models.
When uncertainty rises…
Watch where the money 👀 flows
Probability markets have become an advanced macro indicator, not a marginal one... $BTC