2025-12-26 21:23:23

Traders are always confused by market fluctuations, but the real logic of making money is actually very simple—first understand the big picture, then your eyes can keep up.

In plain terms, there are only three key aspects that must be clarified. First, you need to determine which cycle's trend you are looking at. Is it the daily chart, 4-hour, or 1-hour? The trend judgments for different cycles are completely different. If you get this wrong, no matter how you operate later, it will be useless. Because the cycle determines your sense of direction and also decides where your take-profit target is.

Second is the entry point issue. After confirming the overall direction, when to act becomes the second choice. This seems simple, but it actually involves two hidden pitfalls: one is setting the stop-loss, and the other is whether you can react quickly when the market suddenly turns. If the position is wrong, it will be too late to regret after setting the stop-loss.

BTC's current trend particularly tests this set of logic. Only by mastering the three layers of cycle, position, and risk control can you survive longer amid volatility.

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PrivacyMaximalist

· 12-26 21:52

Getting the cycle wrong indeed makes everything pointless; this is very true. That's right, the stop-loss is the easiest to be triggered. This wave of BTC market is indeed testing human nature repeatedly. Cycle, position, risk control—sounds simple, but actual implementation is hell. Only when your mind is clear can your hands be steady; most people think the other way around. This logic sounds great, but when it comes to execution, you realize how difficult it really is.

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MetaverseHomeless

· 12-26 21:43

That's right, but when it comes to actual execution, things still go wrong. I'm a living example haha. I previously misunderstood the cycle completely; the daily chart was bearish but was forcibly cut through by the 4-hour reversal. The most frustrating stop-loss is setting it too tight, so when the market pulls back, you get stopped out; setting it too wide results in a full liquidation at once. It all comes down to luck.

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AirdropBuffet

· 12-26 21:41

Basically, it's the moment when you hit the stop loss that feels the worst.

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LiquidationTherapist

· 12-26 21:38

That's right, the cycle is truly a life-and-death watershed. It's both about stop-loss and position size; it sounds simple, but in practice, it leads to huge losses. BTC's recent trend really can't hold, and those who misjudge the cycle are all getting liquidated. Every day they shout "Understand the logic first," then turn around and go all-in with full positions. Wait, why didn't you mention leverage? Honestly, most people simply can't control their own hands. Take profit targets sound reliable, but in reality, it's just talking on paper.

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MeltdownSurvivalist

· 12-26 21:33

Cycles are really easy to fall into traps; many people get wiped out during mixed cycles. --- That's right, but execution still requires a slow and steady approach. I have to admit, I sometimes can't resist the stop-loss. --- It's a bit vague. It feels like everything written is correct, but there are very few who can actually execute it. --- Three layers of understanding sound simple, but in reality, the market's random pulls and drops make us forget everything. --- The key is to choose the right position and not set the stop-loss too tight; otherwise, you'll be out as soon as the market swings. This balance is really hard to grasp. --- You must first select the correct cycle; I agree with that. Otherwise, no matter how you operate later, it's just guesswork. --- Whenever the market is moving, it's testing your psychological resilience. No matter how clear your logic is, encountering a black swan makes everything futile.

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