Monero Christmas rebound technical analysis: Can $400-$420 hold steady

RektRecovery · 2025-12-29T06:20:10+00:00

【Crypto World】Monero's recent market performance has been good, rising 7% during Christmas and successfully breaking through the $460 threshold. The key focus now is whether it can hold the support zone of $400-$420, which is right around the 50-day moving average and has served as a defensive line for multiple rebounds in the fourth quarter of this year.From a technical perspective, the MACD is about to form a death cross, indicating short-term downward pressure as it approaches the moving average. However, a positive sign is that the futures market shows no obvious signs of excessive leverage, suggesting that participants remain rational and the market structure is relatively healthy.The biggest obstacle at the moment is still the negative sentiment at play. To see a genuine strong rebound, this emotional burden needs to be lifted first. If the $400-$420 support can be maintained, it might be the last good entry point for a relatively strong rally.

RektRecovery

2025-12-29 06:20:10

【币界】门罗币这波行情不错，圣诞期间涨了7%，成功突破460美元这道关口。接下来的关键看点是能否守住400-420美元这个支撑区域，这个位置正好卡在50日均线附近，也是今年第四季度多次反弹的防线。

从技术面看，MACD即将形成死亡交叉，短期确实有压力向下靠近均线。但有个积极信号是期货市场没见到明显的杠杆过热迹象，说明参与者还保持着理性，市场结构相对健康。

目前最大的掣肘还是那股负面情绪在作祟，要想看到真正的强势反弹，得等这个情绪包袱先卸下来。400-420这关要是能守住，可能就是最后一次比较好的上车点。

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WenAirdrop

· 5m ago

Holding at 400 means you're not dead; the death cross changes three times a day, so don't take it too seriously.

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AirdropFreedom

· 5m ago

Death cross is back again. Will it really drop this time? It feels like the wolf is always coming. Is 400 really the last entry point? I feel like there’s still a chance to go lower. The futures market not overheating is a good sign; at least no one is all-in betting on this rebound. It's an emotional issue—that's where the devil lies. No matter how good the technicals are, it’s all useless. If we hold above 420, can we surge? I remain skeptical, but I still want to push a little higher.

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VibesOverCharts

· 12-30 01:05

If 400-420 can't hold, we probably need to go back to a lower level. Now it's just a matter of when the sentiment will turn around.

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BearMarketBarber

· 12-29 06:50

The death cross is back again, same old story, still that negative sentiment causing trouble. I only believe it if $400 can hold.

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RektRecorder

· 12-29 06:49

Death cross is here again, will it really drop this time? Feels like the wolf is always coming --- If 400 yuan can hold, then it's a win, but I bet it won't hold --- Emotional baggage? Bro, that's just an excuse, no one is taking over the position --- Futures not overheating is a good thing, at least it won't be wiped out by a sudden liquidation --- Heard this last entry point many times, but what was the result? --- Is the 50-day moving average support? Let me check the candlestick chart first --- A 7% increase, what's there to say? Such volatility is hardly worth mentioning --- Damn, it's another market that moves while you're watching. When will we see a clear direction? --- The problem is still poor liquidity. Why is it so hard to rebound? --- Negative emotions can't be let go of, the whole market is waiting for bad news

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BTCWaveRider

· 12-29 06:48

The death cross is back again. Honestly, I’m not very optimistic about whether it can hold this time. It seems that the emotional aspect is the biggest pitfall; the technical side is all fake. If we can't hold the 400-420 range, this rebound will be pointless. Futures without leverage overheating is actually interesting, indicating it’s not yet time to go crazy. Entry point? Why does it feel like every time they say it’s the last one?

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GasFeeTears

· 12-29 06:46

Death cross is here again. Can it hold above 400 this time? It feels like the real news is that futures aren't using crazy leverage; the market still has hope. If 400-420 crashes, don't even think about entry points... Emotion is more deadly than technical analysis. Let's wait until everyone is less anxious before discussing it. Christmas rally of 7% is quite stable, but the MACD signal isn't very good.

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PaperHandsCriminal

· 12-29 06:45

Death Cross is here again, and I know that it lies to me like this every time It's the last chance to get on the bus again, don't lie to me, okay?" If I can't hold on to 400, I'll accept my fate, anyway, I'm used to being cut Emotional baggage? My burden is to chase high every time

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ApeWithNoFear

· 12-29 06:30

The death cross is back. I wonder if it can hold this time... If you ask me, the 400 mark is indeed risky.

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CryptoTherapist

· 12-29 06:28

okay so... the real question here isn't about those support levels tbh. it's like, what's *actually* happening in your portfolio right now? because i'm detecting some serious cognitive dissonance in how we're framing this XMR setup.

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